Skip to the predictions
Live 23 UTC
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Matchday 10 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Athletic Club IIHomeLDLLW
3:1Half-time 1:0
CacereñoAwayLDLWL
502723
Athletic Club II winDrawCacereño win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.50
1.54 : 0.96
Favourite
50%
Athletic Club II
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for Athletic Club II vs Cacereño

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.903.473.941.971.831.821.93Bet
BC.Game1.833.303.951.921.801.771.87Bet
Betwinner1.903.473.941.971.831.821.93Bet
Melbet1.903.473.941.971.831.821.93Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Athletic Club II to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Athletic Club II vs Cacereño prediction: Athletic Club II 1.90 (Melbet), draw 3.47 (Melbet), Cacereño 3.95 (BC.Game).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.83 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (Melbet) and no 1.93 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

50%

Our prediction

Athletic Club II to win
LeanExpected goals 1.54 : 0.96-5.2% against the best price
Double chanceAthletic Club II or draw
77% chance1.23
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.83
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.93
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Athletic Club II, full-time Athletic Club II
31% chance3.24fair

Athletic Club II vs Cacereño prediction

Athletic Club II vs Cacereño prediction and best bet

Athletic Club II are a narrow favourite in the Athletic Club II vs Cacereño prediction, rated 50% to win this Primera División RFEF - Group 1 match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Cacereño sit at 23% and the draw at 27%.

The goal expectancy is 2.50 in total, split 1.54 to Athletic Club II and 0.96 to Cacereño. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is athletic Club II to win at 50%. At 1.90 with Melbet the market prices it at 53%, against 50% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Athletic Club II or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.23.

Over the last 5 matches Athletic Club II stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Cacereño show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Athletic Club II vs Cacereño? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.83 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Athletic Club II scoring in 79% of runs and Cacereño in 62%; clean sheets come at 38% for Athletic Club II and 21% for Cacereño.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Athletic Club II vs Cacereño: 1-0 (12.6%), 1-1 (12.1%) and 2-0 (9.7%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Athletic Club II, full-time Athletic Club II leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Athletic Club II vs Cacereño

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 27% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Athletic Club II to win50%1.90
Draw27%3.47
Cacereño to win23%3.95
Athletic Club II, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Cacereño, draw no bet31%fair 3.22

Double chance

Athletic Club II or draw77%1.23
Cacereño or draw50%1.85
Athletic Club II or Cacereño (no draw)73%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%1.97
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.83
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.82
Not both teams to score50%1.93

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34

Team goals

Athletic Club II to score79%fair 1.27
Cacereño to score62%fair 1.62
Athletic Club II clean sheet38%fair 2.61
Cacereño clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Athletic Club II to win to nil35%fair 2.84
Cacereño to win to nil20%fair 5.08

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-012.6%
1-112.1%
2-09.7%
2-19.3%
0-08.2%
0-17.9%

Half-time / full-time

Athletic Club II / Athletic Club II30.9%
Draw / Athletic Club II17.4%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Cacereño / Cacereño13%
Draw / Cacereño9.2%

Questions about Athletic Club II vs Cacereño

Athletic Club II or Cacereño: which side does the model back?

The model gives Athletic Club II the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Athletic Club II vs Cacereño correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Athletic Club II vs Cacereño both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Athletic Club II find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Cacereño in 62%.

What time does Athletic Club II vs Cacereño kick off?

Athletic Club II vs Cacereño starts at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Athletic Club II v CacereñoAthletic Club II to win, 50%
1.90Bet