Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Arenas GetxoHomeDLLWW
2:0Half-time 1:0
UD OurenseAwayWLLLW462727
Arenas Getxo winDrawUD Ourense win
Arenas GetxoHomeDLLWWUD OurenseAwayWLLLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.58 1.49 : 1.09
- Favourite
- 46% Arenas Getxo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.26 | 3.38 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Arenas Getxo to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense are 1.99 for Arenas Getxo at 1xBet, 3.26 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.38 for UD Ourense at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (1xBet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Arenas Getxo or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Arenas Getxo, full-time Arenas Getxo
28% chance3.58fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense odds movement
Arenas Getxo win1.99-0.04
Draw3.26-0.24
UD Ourense win3.38-0.22
Over 2.5 goals1.89-0.07
Under 2.5 goals1.78-0.09
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense prediction
Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense prediction and best bet
Arenas Getxo host UD Ourense on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, and the model has Arenas Getxo at 46%, the draw at 27% and UD Ourense at 27%: that is the Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.49 for Arenas Getxo and 1.09 for UD Ourense, a total of 2.58, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Arenas Getxo or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.24. That price implies 81%, 8 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Arenas Getxo have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 9 conceded, UD Ourense 2 of 5 scoring 3 and conceding 8.
Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.78.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Arenas Getxo scoring in 78% of runs and UD Ourense in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Arenas Getxo and 23% for UD Ourense.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 1-0 at 11.3% and 2-1 at 9.2%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Arenas Getxo, full-time Arenas Getxo leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense
The grid built from 1.49 and 1.09 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Arenas Getxo to win46%1.99
Draw27%3.26
UD Ourense to win27%3.38
Arenas Getxo, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
UD Ourense, draw no bet37%fair 2.69
Double chance
Arenas Getxo or draw73%1.24
UD Ourense or draw54%1.66
Arenas Getxo or UD Ourense (no draw)73%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%1.89
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.33
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 2.5 goals53%1.78
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.74
Not both teams to score48%1.96
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.10
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Arenas Getxo to score78%fair 1.29
UD Ourense to score66%fair 1.51
Arenas Getxo clean sheet34%fair 2.98
UD Ourense clean sheet23%fair 4.44
Arenas Getxo to win to nil31%fair 3.24
UD Ourense to win to nil21%fair 4.83
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-011.3%
2-19.2%
2-08.4%
0-18.3%
0-07.6%
Half-time / full-time
Arenas Getxo / Arenas Getxo27.9%
Draw / Arenas Getxo16%
Draw / Draw16%
UD Ourense / UD Ourense15.6%
Draw / UD Ourense10.5%
Questions about Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense
Arenas Getxo or UD Ourense: which side does the model back?
The model gives Arenas Getxo the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Arenas Getxo find the net in 78% of simulated matches and UD Ourense in 66%.
What time does Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense kick off?
Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.