Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Racing FerrolHomeWWWLD
0:0Half-time 0:0
PonferradinaAwayLDDDD423325
Racing Ferrol winDrawPonferradina win
Racing FerrolHomeWWWLDPonferradinaAwayLDDDD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.09 1.21 : 0.88
- Favourite
- 42% Racing Ferrol
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 43% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.23 | 3.10 | 3.36 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.21 | 1.62 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.18 | 2.86 | 3.40 | 2.44 | 1.50 | 2.02 | 1.66 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.23 | 3.10 | 3.36 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.21 | 1.62 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.23 | 3.10 | 3.36 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.21 | 1.62 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Racing Ferrol to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina prediction: Racing Ferrol 2.23 (Melbet), draw 3.10 (Melbet), Ponferradina 3.40 (BC.Game).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.65 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.50 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.21 (Melbet) and no 1.66 (BC.Game).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Racing Ferrol or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
66% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
62% chance1.62fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.67fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Racing Ferrol, full-time Racing Ferrol
25% chance3.94fair
First halfFirst-half goal
61% chance1.64fair
Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina prediction
Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina prediction, who wins and at what price
Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina prediction for the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Racing Ferrol marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 33% and Ponferradina at 25%.
Expected goals are 1.21 for Racing Ferrol and 0.88 for Ponferradina, a total of 2.09, which puts over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 43%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina is racing Ferrol or draw, a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at Melbet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
A 33% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches Racing Ferrol stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Ponferradina show 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina
On the goal lines Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina reads 62% for over 1.5, 35% for over 2.5 and 16% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 66%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; BC.Game pay 1.50.
Both teams to score is 43%: Racing Ferrol find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Ponferradina in 59%. Racing Ferrol keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Ponferradina 30%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-0 (12.4%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Racing Ferrol, full-time Racing Ferrol leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 61%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 33% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Racing Ferrol to win42%2.23
Draw33%3.10
Ponferradina to win25%3.40
Racing Ferrol, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
Ponferradina, draw no bet37%fair 2.67
Double chance
Racing Ferrol or draw75%1.30
Ponferradina or draw58%1.61
Racing Ferrol or Ponferradina (no draw)67%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals62%fair 1.62
Over 2.5 goals35%2.65
Over 3.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 16.39
Under 1.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Under 2.5 goals66%1.50
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.19
BTTS
Both teams to score43%2.21
Not both teams to score57%1.66
Halves
First-half goal61%fair 1.64
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.13
Second-half goal68%fair 1.46
Team goals
Racing Ferrol to score70%fair 1.42
Ponferradina to score59%fair 1.71
Racing Ferrol clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Ponferradina clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Racing Ferrol to win to nil38%fair 2.62
Ponferradina to win to nil23%fair 4.35
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-015%
1-113.2%
0-012.4%
0-110.9%
2-09.1%
2-18%
Half-time / full-time
Racing Ferrol / Racing Ferrol25.4%
Draw / Draw20.5%
Draw / Racing Ferrol16.5%
Ponferradina / Ponferradina14.7%
Draw / Ponferradina10.9%
Questions about Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina?
The model gives Racing Ferrol the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 33%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 35% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina?
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Racing Ferrol find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Ponferradina in 59%.
What time does Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina kick off?
Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina starts at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.