Mérida AD vs CD Coria prediction

Mérida AD vs CD Coria prediction and best bet

Mérida AD are a narrow favourite in the Mérida AD vs CD Coria prediction, rated 56% to win this Primera División RFEF - Group 1 match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. CD Coria sit at 21% and the draw at 24%.

Mérida AD are expected to score 1.88 and CD Coria 1.07, so the total line is 2.95 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is mérida AD to win at 56%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.67. That price implies 60%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Mérida AD or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.14.

Form check: Mérida AD have won 3 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 3 conceded, CD Coria 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 7.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Mérida AD vs CD Coria

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 44% and under 3.5 is 66%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.97 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 57%: Mérida AD find the net in 85% of simulated matches and CD Coria in 66%. Mérida AD keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and CD Coria 15%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%, followed by 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.8%).

With the top scoreline at 10.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Mérida AD vs CD Coria; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Mérida AD, full-time Mérida AD is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.