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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Matchday 11 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
BarakaldoHomeDLWDD
Sat 7 Nov
Real UniónAwayDDDWL
392635
Barakaldo winDrawReal Unión win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.60
1.34 : 1.26
Favourite
39%
Barakaldo
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Barakaldo vs Real Unión

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

74%

Our prediction

Barakaldo or Real Unión (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.34 : 1.26
1.36fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.93fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.89fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Barakaldo, full-time Barakaldo
23% chance4.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair

Barakaldo vs Real Unión prediction

Our Barakaldo vs Real Unión prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Barakaldo vs Real Unión prediction for Saturday, 7 November 2026: 39% home, 26% draw and 35% away in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Barakaldo are expected to score 1.34 and Real Unión 1.26, so the total line is 2.60 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is barakaldo or Real Unión (no draw) at 74%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Barakaldo have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 2 conceded, Real Unión 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 7.

How many goals in Barakaldo vs Real Unión? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Barakaldo score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Real Unión; Real Unión score in 72% while Barakaldo shut them out 28% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.5%, then 1-0 at 10% and 0-1 at 9.4%.

With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Barakaldo vs Real Unión; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Barakaldo, full-time Barakaldo leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Barakaldo vs Real Unión

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 26% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Barakaldo to win39%fair 2.58
Draw26%fair 3.80
Real Unión to win35%fair 2.87
Barakaldo, draw no bet53%fair 1.90
Real Unión, draw no bet47%fair 2.11

Double chance

Barakaldo or draw65%fair 1.54
Real Unión or draw61%fair 1.63
Barakaldo or Real Unión (no draw)74%fair 1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%fair 2.07
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 2.5 goals52%fair 1.93
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score53%fair 1.89
Not both teams to score47%fair 2.13

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.06
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31

Team goals

Barakaldo to score74%fair 1.36
Real Unión to score72%fair 1.40
Barakaldo clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Real Unión clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Barakaldo to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Real Unión to win to nil24%fair 4.15

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-010%
0-19.4%
2-18.4%
1-27.9%
0-07.4%

Half-time / full-time

Barakaldo / Barakaldo22.7%
Real Unión / Real Unión20.2%
Draw / Draw16.1%
Draw / Barakaldo13.8%
Draw / Real Unión12.7%

Questions about Barakaldo vs Real Unión

Who is favourite in Barakaldo vs Real Unión?

The model gives Barakaldo the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Barakaldo vs Real Unión?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Barakaldo vs Real Unión?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Barakaldo find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Real Unión in 72%.

What time does Barakaldo vs Real Unión kick off?

Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Barakaldo v Real UniónBarakaldo or Real Unión (no draw), 74%
1.36fair