Skip to the predictions
Live 11 UTC
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Matchday 10 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Real UniónHomeDDDWL
0:3Half-time 0:1
Real AvilésAwayLWWLW
532423
Real Unión winDrawReal Avilés win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
3.20
1.95 : 1.25
Favourite
53%
Real Unión
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for Real Unión vs Real Avilés

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.873.743.741.602.251.592.28Bet
BC.Game1.783.703.801.582.241.542.24Bet
Betwinner1.873.743.741.602.251.592.28Bet
Melbet1.873.743.741.602.251.592.28Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Real Unión to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Real Unión vs Real Avilés prediction: Real Unión 1.87 (22Bet), draw 3.74 (22Bet), Real Avilés 3.80 (BC.Game).

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.60 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.25 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (Melbet) and no 2.28 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

53%

Our prediction

Real Unión to win
StrongExpected goals 1.95 : 1.25-0.3% against the best price
Double chanceReal Unión or draw
77% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.60
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Real Unión, full-time Real Unión
34% chance2.94fair

Real Unión vs Real Avilés prediction

Our Real Unión vs Real Avilés prediction and pick

Real Unión host Real Avilés on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, and the model has Real Unión at 53%, the draw at 24% and Real Avilés at 23%: that is the Real Unión vs Real Avilés prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.20 in total, split 1.95 to Real Unión and 1.25 to Real Avilés. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 62%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is real Unión to win at 53%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.87. That price implies 53%, 0 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, real Unión or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.25.

Over the last 5 matches Real Unión stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Real Avilés show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Real Unión vs Real Avilés with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Real Unión vs Real Avilés reads 83% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.60 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. Real Unión score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for Real Avilés; Real Avilés score in 71% while Real Unión shut them out 29% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.9%, then 2-1 at 9.7% and 1-0 at 7.9%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Real Unión, full-time Real Unión leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Real Unión vs Real Avilés

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Real Unión vs Real Avilés, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Real Unión to win53%1.87
Draw24%3.74
Real Avilés to win23%3.80
Real Unión, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Real Avilés, draw no bet30%fair 3.30

Double chance

Real Unión or draw77%1.25
Real Avilés or draw47%1.87
Real Unión or Real Avilés (no draw)77%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.52
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.85
Under 2.5 goals39%2.25
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.66

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.59
Not both teams to score38%2.28

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.37
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

Real Unión to score86%fair 1.17
Real Avilés to score71%fair 1.40
Real Unión clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Real Avilés clean sheet14%fair 7.04
Real Unión to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Real Avilés to win to nil13%fair 7.63

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
2-19.7%
1-07.9%
2-07.7%
3-16.3%
1-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

Real Unión / Real Unión34%
Draw / Real Unión16.4%
Real Avilés / Real Avilés13.9%
Draw / Draw12%
Draw / Real Avilés8.6%

Questions about Real Unión vs Real Avilés

Who is favourite in Real Unión vs Real Avilés?

The model gives Real Unión the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Real Unión vs Real Avilés correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Real Unión vs Real Avilés both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Real Unión find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Real Avilés in 71%.

When do Real Unión play Real Avilés?

Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Real Unión v Real AvilésReal Unión to win, 53%
1.87Bet