FKF Premier League predictions for every fixture

FKF Premier League predictions for the coming round

FKF Premier League predictions cover 13 of the next 13 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 41% chance, the draw 32%, over 2.5 goals 29% and BTTS 37%.

Expected goals average 1.89 a match, so the goal lines open below 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 12 of the 13 rated fixtures. 9 picks reach banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest FKF Premier League pick of the round is under 2.5 goals in Mombasa Elite v Shabana on Sat 7 Nov, rated 82%.

No FKF Premier League pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full FKF Premier League odds table.

FKF Premier League results and trends, last 60 days

The last 41 FKF Premier League matches of the past 60 days produced 15 home wins, 18 draws and 8 away wins. That is a home win rate of 37% and a draw rate of 44%.

Goals averaged 1.90 a match, 1.12 for the home side and 0.78 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 32% of matches and over 1.5 in 56%. Both teams scored in 44%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 56%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was GOR Mahia 4-2 Murang'a SEAL on Tue 13 Oct.

The model rates over 2.5 at 29% for the coming round against a 32% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the FKF Premier League tips have gone

40 FKF Premier League tips have been settled in the last 60 days: 20 won and 20 lost, a hit rate of 50%. At a flat stake on the best price at freeze time the return is -16.7%.

The market that has landed most often in this competition is double chance, 4 of 5 tips. A hit rate is only printed once a market has five settled tips, so the early figures move quickly.

Every tip is frozen 40 hours before kick-off and graded from the final score. The day-by-day list sits on the results pages. 24 further FKF Premier League tips are frozen and waiting for their matches.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn, so this record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

FKF Premier League odds comparison

Bookmakers have priced 4 of the coming FKF Premier League fixtures, with a median of 4 prices per outcome on a typical match. Taking the best price on each 1X2 outcome pays 95% of stakes across the round, against 90.5% at an average single bookmaker.

That gap of 4.5 points is what the comparison saves before any pick is made. Every match page lists each bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS lines with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link.

The edge printed beside a pick compares the model chance with that best price. The value bets page collects the largest gaps across every competition and the banker page the highest chances, with FKF Premier League rows included whenever they qualify.