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Live 11 UTC
FKF Premier League Round 5 Monday, 2 November 2026 FT
TuskerHomeWLDL
3:1Half-time 1:0
Mara SugarAwayDWDD
393229
Tusker winDrawMara Sugar win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
1.97
1.08 : 0.89
Favourite
39%
Tusker
Over 2.5 goals
31%
model chance
Both teams to score
40%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for Tusker vs Mara Sugar

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.372.763.082.701.362.181.58Bet
22Bet2.012.963.912.641.402.441.46Bet
Betwinner2.012.963.912.641.402.441.46Bet
Melbet2.012.963.912.641.402.441.46Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Tusker to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Tusker vs Mara Sugar prediction: Tusker 2.37 (1xBet), draw 2.96 (Betwinner), Mara Sugar 3.91 (Betwinner).

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.40 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.44 (Betwinner) and no 1.58 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

71%

Our prediction

Tusker or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 1.08 : 0.89-8.9% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
69% chance1.40
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.58Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
59% chance1.71fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.62fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tusker, full-time Tusker
23% chance4.44fairWon
First halfFirst-half goal
59% chance1.70fairWon

Tusker vs Mara Sugar odds movement

Tusker win2.37-0.07
Draw2.96+0.10
Mara Sugar win3.91+0.81
Over 2.5 goals2.70-0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.40-0.04

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Tusker vs Mara Sugar prediction

Our Tusker vs Mara Sugar prediction and pick

Tusker vs Mara Sugar prediction for the FKF Premier League on Monday, 2 November 2026: the model makes Tusker marginally ahead at 39%, with the draw at 32% and Mara Sugar at 29%.

Tusker are expected to score 1.08 and Mara Sugar 0.89, so the total line is 1.97 goals; over 2.5 lands at 31% and BTTS at 40%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Tusker or draw is the main selection, rated 71%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 7 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Tusker vs Mara Sugar.

A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 4 matches Tusker stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Mara Sugar show 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in 4.

A low-scoring Tusker vs Mara Sugar? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 69% and under 3.5 86%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 59% and over 2.5 at 31%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; Betwinner pay 1.40.

BTTS yes stands at 40%. Tusker score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for Mara Sugar; Mara Sugar score in 59% while Tusker shut them out 41% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Tusker vs Mara Sugar: 1-0 (15.1%), 0-0 (13.9%) and 1-1 (13.4%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tusker, full-time Tusker leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 59%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Tusker vs Mara Sugar

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Tusker vs Mara Sugar, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Tusker to win39%2.37
Draw32%2.96
Mara Sugar to win29%3.91
Tusker, draw no bet58%fair 1.74
Mara Sugar, draw no bet42%fair 2.36

Double chance

Tusker or draw71%1.28
Mara Sugar or draw61%1.68
Tusker or Mara Sugar (no draw)68%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 goals59%fair 1.71
Over 2.5 goals31%2.70
Over 3.5 goals14%fair 7.25
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 20.00
Under 1.5 goals41%fair 2.42
Under 2.5 goals69%1.40
Under 3.5 goals86%fair 1.16

BTTS

Both teams to score40%2.44
Not both teams to score60%1.58

Halves

First-half goal59%fair 1.70
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.48
Second-half goal66%fair 1.51

Team goals

Tusker to score66%fair 1.52
Mara Sugar to score59%fair 1.70
Tusker clean sheet41%fair 2.43
Mara Sugar clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Tusker to win to nil36%fair 2.77
Mara Sugar to win to nil27%fair 3.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96

Most likely scores

1-015.1%
0-013.9%
1-113.4%
0-112.4%
2-08.1%
2-17.2%

Half-time / full-time

Tusker / Tusker22.5%
Draw / Draw22%
Mara Sugar / Mara Sugar16.2%
Draw / Tusker15.5%
Draw / Mara Sugar12.1%

Questions about Tusker vs Mara Sugar

Who will win Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

The model gives Tusker the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 31% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Tusker find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Mara Sugar in 59%.

When is Tusker vs Mara Sugar and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Tusker v Mara SugarTusker or draw, 71%
1.28Bet