FKF Premier League
Ulinzi StarsHomeLDDL
0:0Half-time 0:0
Mara SugarAwayDWDD342937
Ulinzi Stars winDrawMara Sugar win
Ulinzi StarsHomeLDDLMara SugarAwayDWDD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.29 1.12 : 1.17
- Favourite
- 37% Mara Sugar
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
72%
Our prediction
Ulinzi Stars or Mara Sugar (no draw)
1.40fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.66fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.86fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mara Sugar, full-time Mara Sugar
21% chance4.69fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair
Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar prediction
Our Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 34% home, 29% draw and 37% away in the FKF Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.29 in total, split 1.12 to Ulinzi Stars and 1.17 to Mara Sugar. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 40% and both teams to score 46%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar is ulinzi Stars or Mara Sugar (no draw), a 72% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Form check: Ulinzi Stars have won 0 of their last 4 with 1 scored and 4 conceded, Mara Sugar 1 of 4 scoring 4 and conceding 3.
A low-scoring Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 60% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from Ulinzi Stars scoring in 67% of runs and Mara Sugar in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Ulinzi Stars and 33% for Mara Sugar.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%, followed by 0-1 (11.8%) and 1-0 (11.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mara Sugar, full-time Mara Sugar leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar
The grid built from 1.12 and 1.17 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Ulinzi Stars to win34%fair 2.91
Draw29%fair 3.51
Mara Sugar to win37%fair 2.70
Ulinzi Stars, draw no bet48%fair 2.08
Mara Sugar, draw no bet52%fair 1.93
Double chance
Ulinzi Stars or draw63%fair 1.59
Mara Sugar or draw66%fair 1.52
Ulinzi Stars or Mara Sugar (no draw)72%fair 1.40
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%fair 2.51
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Under 2.5 goals60%fair 1.66
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score46%fair 2.16
Not both teams to score54%fair 1.86
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.64
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40
Team goals
Ulinzi Stars to score67%fair 1.48
Mara Sugar to score69%fair 1.45
Ulinzi Stars clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Mara Sugar clean sheet33%fair 3.07
Ulinzi Stars to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Mara Sugar to win to nil30%fair 3.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.3%
0-111.8%
1-011.3%
0-010.1%
1-27.8%
2-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
Mara Sugar / Mara Sugar21.3%
Ulinzi Stars / Ulinzi Stars19.7%
Draw / Draw18.7%
Draw / Mara Sugar14%
Draw / Ulinzi Stars13.2%
Questions about Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar
Who is favourite in Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar?
The model gives Mara Sugar the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Ulinzi Stars find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Mara Sugar in 69%.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.