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Live 17 UTC
FKF Premier League Round 5 Monday, 2 November 2026 FT
Ulinzi StarsHomeLDDL
2:1Half-time 0:1
Mathare UnitedAwayDLDW
353530
Ulinzi Stars winDrawMathare United win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
1.85
0.97 : 0.88
Favourite
35%
Ulinzi Stars
Over 2.5 goals
28%
model chance
Both teams to score
39%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.442.673.082.831.332.241.55Bet
22Bet2.742.742.742.781.372.581.42Bet
Betwinner2.742.742.742.781.372.581.42Bet
Melbet2.692.692.642.831.332.241.55Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Ulinzi Stars to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United are 2.74 for Ulinzi Stars at 22Bet, 2.74 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.08 for Mathare United at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.83 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.37 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.58 (22Bet) and no 1.55 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

70%

Our prediction

Ulinzi Stars or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 0.97 : 0.88-4.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
73% chance1.37
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.55Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.81fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
16% chance6.37fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.22fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.77fairWon

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United odds movement

Ulinzi Stars win2.74+0.28
Draw2.74-0.16
Mathare United win3.08+0.03
Over 2.5 goals2.83-0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.37-0.03

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United prediction

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United prediction for Monday, 2 November 2026: 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away in the FKF Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Ulinzi Stars are expected to score 0.97 and Mathare United 0.88, so the total line is 1.85 goals; over 2.5 lands at 28% and BTTS at 39%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United is ulinzi Stars or draw, a 70% chance. At 1.37 with Betwinner the market prices it at 73%, against 70% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 35%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 4 matches Ulinzi Stars stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Mathare United show 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United

On the goal lines Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United reads 55% for over 1.5, 28% for over 2.5 and 12% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 73%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 73%, best priced 1.37 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 39%. Ulinzi Stars score in 62% of simulations against a 38% clean sheet for Mathare United; Mathare United score in 59% while Ulinzi Stars shut them out 42% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 0-0 leads at 15.7%, then 1-0 at 15.3% and 0-1 at 13.8%.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 57%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Ulinzi Stars to win35%2.74
Draw35%2.74
Mathare United to win30%3.08
Ulinzi Stars, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Mathare United, draw no bet46%fair 2.16

Double chance

Ulinzi Stars or draw70%1.37
Mathare United or draw65%1.43
Ulinzi Stars or Mathare United (no draw)65%1.37

Goals

Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%2.83
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.00
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 2.5 goals73%1.37
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.13

BTTS

Both teams to score39%2.58
Not both teams to score61%1.55

Halves

First-half goal57%fair 1.77
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.93
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56

Team goals

Ulinzi Stars to score62%fair 1.61
Mathare United to score59%fair 1.71
Ulinzi Stars clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Mathare United clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Ulinzi Stars to win to nil32%fair 3.10
Mathare United to win to nil28%fair 3.58

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95

Most likely scores

0-015.7%
1-015.3%
0-113.8%
1-113.4%
2-07.4%
2-16.5%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw23.7%
Ulinzi Stars / Ulinzi Stars20.3%
Mathare United / Mathare United17.3%
Draw / Ulinzi Stars14.7%
Draw / Mathare United13%

Questions about Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United

Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?

The model gives Ulinzi Stars the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 35%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United correct score: what does the model say?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 28%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?

The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Ulinzi Stars find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Mathare United in 59%.

What time does Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United kick off?

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United starts at 10:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Ulinzi Stars v Mathare UnitedUlinzi Stars or draw, 70%
1.37Bet