Skip to the predictions
Live 26 UTC
FKF Premier League Round 5 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
APS BometHomeDLDWD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Murang'a SEALAwayLWLWD
423028
APS Bomet winDrawMurang'a SEAL win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.26
1.28 : 0.98
Favourite
42%
APS Bomet
Over 2.5 goals
39%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.223.003.082.271.541.931.75Bet
22Bet2.293.053.052.271.542.161.59Bet
Betwinner2.122.963.342.271.541.951.74Bet
Melbet2.383.032.932.271.542.161.59Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

APS Bomet to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL are 2.38 for APS Bomet at Melbet, 3.05 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.34 for Murang'a SEAL at Betwinner.

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.27 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.54 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.16 (22Bet) and no 1.75 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

APS Bomet or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 1.28 : 0.98-3.4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.54
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.75Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.52fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.46fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time APS Bomet, full-time APS Bomet
25% chance3.94fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.57fairLost

APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL odds movement

APS Bomet win2.38unchanged
Draw3.05unchanged
Murang'a SEAL win3.34unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.27-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.54-0.03

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL prediction

Our APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL prediction and pick

The APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL prediction leans to APS Bomet: 42% against 27% for Murang'a SEAL, with 30% left for the draw, in the FKF Premier League on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.28 for APS Bomet and 0.98 for Murang'a SEAL, a total of 2.26, which puts over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 47%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

APS Bomet or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at Melbet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL.

The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: APS Bomet have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 2 conceded, Murang'a SEAL 2 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 9.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 66%, over 2.5 at 39%, over 3.5 at 19%; under 2.5 is 61% and under 3.5 is 81%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.54 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from APS Bomet scoring in 72% of runs and Murang'a SEAL in 63%; clean sheets come at 38% for APS Bomet and 28% for Murang'a SEAL.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL: 1-0 (13.4%), 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (10.4%).

With the top scoreline at 13.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time APS Bomet, full-time APS Bomet leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 30% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

APS Bomet to win42%2.38
Draw30%3.05
Murang'a SEAL to win27%3.34
APS Bomet, draw no bet61%fair 1.65
Murang'a SEAL, draw no bet39%fair 2.54

Double chance

APS Bomet or draw73%1.33
Murang'a SEAL or draw58%1.57
APS Bomet or Murang'a SEAL (no draw)70%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 2.5 goals39%2.27
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.66
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.94
Under 2.5 goals61%1.54
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24

BTTS

Both teams to score47%2.16
Not both teams to score53%1.75

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.70
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41

Team goals

APS Bomet to score72%fair 1.39
Murang'a SEAL to score63%fair 1.60
APS Bomet clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Murang'a SEAL clean sheet28%fair 3.60
APS Bomet to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Murang'a SEAL to win to nil25%fair 3.97

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-013.4%
1-113.1%
0-010.4%
0-110.2%
2-08.5%
2-18.4%

Half-time / full-time

APS Bomet / APS Bomet25.4%
Draw / Draw18.8%
Draw / APS Bomet16%
Murang'a SEAL / Murang'a SEAL15.8%
Draw / Murang'a SEAL11.2%

Questions about APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL

APS Bomet or Murang'a SEAL: which side does the model back?

The model gives APS Bomet the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 39% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. APS Bomet find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Murang'a SEAL in 63%.

What time does APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL kick off?

APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL starts at 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, APS Bomet v Murang'a SEALAPS Bomet or draw, 73%
1.33Bet