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Live 29 UTC
FKF Premier League Round 4 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
ShabanaHomeWDDD
1:1Half-time 1:0
Migori YouthAwayDDDW
383527
Shabana winDrawMigori Youth win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
1.85
1.03 : 0.82
Favourite
38%
Shabana
Over 2.5 goals
28%
model chance
Both teams to score
39%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for Shabana vs Migori Youth

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.262.703.382.741.352.241.55Bet
22Bet2.692.692.872.921.342.581.42Bet
Betwinner2.692.692.872.921.342.581.42Bet
Melbet2.692.692.872.921.342.581.42Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Shabana to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Shabana vs Migori Youth are 2.69 for Shabana at Melbet, 2.70 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.38 for Migori Youth at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.92 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.35 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.58 (Melbet) and no 1.55 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

73%

Our prediction

Shabana or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.03 : 0.82-1.6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.35
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.77fair

Shabana vs Migori Youth prediction

Our Shabana vs Migori Youth prediction and pick

Shabana are marginally ahead in the Shabana vs Migori Youth prediction, rated 38% to win this FKF Premier League match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Migori Youth sit at 27% and the draw at 35%.

The goal expectancy is 1.85 in total, split 1.03 to Shabana and 0.82 to Migori Youth. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 28% and both teams to score 39%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is shabana or draw at 73%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.35. That price implies 74%, 1 points over the model figure.

A 35% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 4 matches Shabana stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Migori Youth show 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in 4.

A low-scoring Shabana vs Migori Youth? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Shabana vs Migori Youth reads 55% for over 1.5, 28% for over 2.5 and 12% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 72%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%; 1xBet pay 1.35.

BTTS yes stands at 39%. Shabana score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Migori Youth; Migori Youth score in 56% while Shabana shut them out 44% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Shabana vs Migori Youth: 1-0 (16.2%), 0-0 (15.7%) and 1-1 (13.3%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 57%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Shabana vs Migori Youth

The grid built from 1.03 and 0.82 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Shabana to win38%2.69
Draw35%2.70
Migori Youth to win27%3.38
Shabana, draw no bet59%fair 1.71
Migori Youth, draw no bet42%fair 2.41

Double chance

Shabana or draw73%1.35
Migori Youth or draw62%1.50
Shabana or Migori Youth (no draw)65%1.39

Goals

Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%2.92
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.00
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 2.5 goals72%1.35
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.13

BTTS

Both teams to score39%2.58
Not both teams to score61%1.55

Halves

First-half goal57%fair 1.77
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.93
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56

Team goals

Shabana to score64%fair 1.56
Migori Youth to score56%fair 1.79
Shabana clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Migori Youth clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Shabana to win to nil35%fair 2.85
Migori Youth to win to nil25%fair 4.02

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95

Most likely scores

1-016.2%
0-015.7%
1-113.3%
0-112.9%
2-08.3%
2-16.8%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw23.6%
Shabana / Shabana22.4%
Draw / Shabana15.8%
Migori Youth / Migori Youth15.4%
Draw / Migori Youth11.9%

Questions about Shabana vs Migori Youth

Who is favourite in Shabana vs Migori Youth?

The model gives Shabana the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 35%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Shabana vs Migori Youth?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 28%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Shabana vs Migori Youth both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Shabana find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Migori Youth in 56%.

When is Shabana vs Migori Youth and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Shabana v Migori YouthShabana or draw, 73%
1.35Bet