FKF Premier League
GOR MahiaHomeWWWWL
Sun 8 Nov
Nairobi UnitedAwayDDDLD552619
GOR Mahia winDrawNairobi United win
GOR MahiaHomeWWWWLNairobi UnitedAwayDDDLD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.38 1.56 : 0.82
- Favourite
- 55% GOR Mahia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
55%
Our prediction
GOR Mahia to win
1.82fair
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw
80% chance1.25fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.74fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.79fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance6.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time GOR Mahia, full-time GOR Mahia
34% chance2.97fair
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United prediction
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United prediction, who wins and at what price
The GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United prediction leans to GOR Mahia: 55% against 20% for Nairobi United, with 26% left for the draw, in the FKF Premier League on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.56 for GOR Mahia and 0.82 for Nairobi United, a total of 2.38, which puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 44%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United is gOR Mahia to win, a 55% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, gOR Mahia or draw covers 80% of outcomes.
Form check: GOR Mahia have won 4 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 4 conceded, Nairobi United 0 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 7.
A low-scoring GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 58% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 42%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%.
BTTS yes stands at 44%. GOR Mahia score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Nairobi United; Nairobi United score in 56% while GOR Mahia shut them out 44% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14.4%, followed by 1-1 (11.8%) and 2-0 (11.3%).
With the top scoreline at 14.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time GOR Mahia, full-time GOR Mahia leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United
The grid built from 1.56 and 0.82 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
GOR Mahia to win55%fair 1.82
Draw26%fair 3.92
Nairobi United to win20%fair 5.08
GOR Mahia, draw no bet74%fair 1.36
Nairobi United, draw no bet26%fair 3.79
Double chance
GOR Mahia or draw80%fair 1.25
Nairobi United or draw45%fair 2.21
GOR Mahia or Nairobi United (no draw)75%fair 1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%fair 2.36
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals58%fair 1.74
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score44%fair 2.26
Not both teams to score56%fair 1.79
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
GOR Mahia to score79%fair 1.27
Nairobi United to score56%fair 1.79
GOR Mahia clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Nairobi United clean sheet21%fair 4.76
GOR Mahia to win to nil41%fair 2.47
Nairobi United to win to nil18%fair 5.52
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.4%
1-111.8%
2-011.3%
0-09.3%
2-19.2%
0-17.6%
Half-time / full-time
GOR Mahia / GOR Mahia33.7%
Draw / GOR Mahia18.9%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Nairobi United / Nairobi United10.6%
Draw / Nairobi United8%
Questions about GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
The model gives GOR Mahia the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. GOR Mahia find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Nairobi United in 56%.
When do GOR Mahia play Nairobi United?
Kick-off is 13:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.