FKF Premier League
Mara SugarHomeDWDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
AFC LeopardsAwayDWDDW303436
Mara Sugar winDrawAFC Leopards win
Mara SugarHomeDWDDAFC LeopardsAwayDWDDW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.02 0.96 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 36% AFC Leopards
- Over 2.5 goals
- 32% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 43% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.83 | 2.75 | 2.47 | 2.49 | 1.42 | 2.06 | 1.65 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.69 | 2.69 | 2.87 | 2.50 | 1.45 | 2.16 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.69 | 2.69 | 2.87 | 2.50 | 1.45 | 2.16 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.69 | 2.69 | 2.87 | 2.50 | 1.45 | 2.16 | 1.59 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
AFC Leopards to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Mara Sugar price at 2.83, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.75 and Melbet have AFC Leopards longest at 2.87.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.50 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.45 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.16 (Melbet) and no 1.65 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
70%
Our prediction
AFC Leopards or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
68% chance1.45
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
60% chance1.67fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
22% chance4.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.68fair
Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards prediction
Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards prediction for Wednesday, 28 October 2026: 30% home, 34% draw and 36% away in the FKF Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 0.96 for Mara Sugar and 1.06 for AFC Leopards, a total of 2.02, which puts over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams to score at 43%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards is aFC Leopards or draw, a 70% chance. Melbet offer the top price at 1.39. That price implies 72%, 2 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 34% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 4 matches Mara Sugar stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; AFC Leopards show 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 68% and under 3.5 85%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 60% and over 2.5 at 32%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; Melbet pay 1.45.
BTTS yes stands at 43%. Mara Sugar score in 62% of simulations against a 38% clean sheet for AFC Leopards; AFC Leopards score in 65% while Mara Sugar shut them out 35% of the time.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 14.1%, then 1-1 at 13.5% and 0-0 at 13.3%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 30% / 34% / 36% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Mara Sugar to win30%2.83
Draw34%2.75
AFC Leopards to win36%2.87
Mara Sugar, draw no bet46%fair 2.17
AFC Leopards, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Double chance
Mara Sugar or draw64%1.39
AFC Leopards or draw70%1.39
Mara Sugar or AFC Leopards (no draw)66%1.39
Goals
Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals60%fair 1.67
Over 2.5 goals32%2.50
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.80
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 18.52
Under 1.5 goals40%fair 2.49
Under 2.5 goals68%1.45
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.17
BTTS
Both teams to score43%2.16
Not both teams to score57%1.65
Halves
First-half goal60%fair 1.68
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.33
Second-half goal67%fair 1.49
Team goals
Mara Sugar to score62%fair 1.62
AFC Leopards to score65%fair 1.53
Mara Sugar clean sheet35%fair 2.89
AFC Leopards clean sheet38%fair 2.61
Mara Sugar to win to nil28%fair 3.57
AFC Leopards to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-114.1%
1-113.5%
0-013.3%
1-012.7%
0-27.5%
1-27.2%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw21.5%
AFC Leopards / AFC Leopards21.1%
Mara Sugar / Mara Sugar17.9%
Draw / AFC Leopards14.6%
Draw / Mara Sugar12.9%
Questions about Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards
Mara Sugar or AFC Leopards: which side does the model back?
The model gives AFC Leopards the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 32%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Mara Sugar find the net in 62% of simulated matches and AFC Leopards in 65%.
What time does Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards kick off?
Kick-off is 13:15 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.