FKF Premier League
Kenya PoliceHomeDLDW
1:2Half-time 0:0
AFC LeopardsAwayDWDDW413326
Kenya Police winDrawAFC Leopards win
Kenya PoliceHomeDLDWAFC LeopardsAwayDWDDW- Kick-off Tue 20 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.97 1.13 : 0.84
- Favourite
- 41% Kenya Police
- Over 2.5 goals
- 31% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.28 | 2.71 | 3.32 | 2.66 | 1.37 | 2.18 | 1.58 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kenya Police to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards are 2.28 for Kenya Police at 1xBet, 2.71 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.32 for AFC Leopards at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.66 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.37 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.18 (1xBet) and no 1.58 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Kenya Police or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
69% chance1.37
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
59% chance1.71fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kenya Police, full-time Kenya Police
24% chance4.12fair
First halfFirst-half goal
59% chance1.70fair
Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards prediction
Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards prediction and best bet
Kenya Police host AFC Leopards on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 in the FKF Premier League, and the model has Kenya Police at 41%, the draw at 33% and AFC Leopards at 26%: that is the Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards prediction in one line.
Kenya Police are expected to score 1.13 and AFC Leopards 0.84, so the total line is 1.97 goals; over 2.5 lands at 31% and BTTS at 40%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Kenya Police or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.24 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Kenya Police have won 1 of their last 4 with 3 scored and 3 conceded, AFC Leopards 2 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 1.
A low-scoring Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 69% and under 3.5 86%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 59% and over 2.5 at 31%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.37 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 40%, built from Kenya Police scoring in 68% of runs and AFC Leopards in 57%; clean sheets come at 43% for Kenya Police and 32% for AFC Leopards.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards: 1-0 (15.8%), 0-0 (13.9%) and 1-1 (13.2%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Kenya Police, full-time Kenya Police is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 59%.
Every market rated for Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards
The grid built from 1.13 and 0.84 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Kenya Police to win41%2.28
Draw33%2.71
AFC Leopards to win26%3.32
Kenya Police, draw no bet62%fair 1.63
AFC Leopards, draw no bet39%fair 2.60
Double chance
Kenya Police or draw74%1.24
AFC Leopards or draw59%1.49
Kenya Police or AFC Leopards (no draw)67%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 goals59%fair 1.71
Over 2.5 goals31%2.66
Over 3.5 goals14%fair 7.25
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 20.00
Under 1.5 goals41%fair 2.42
Under 2.5 goals69%1.37
Under 3.5 goals86%fair 1.16
BTTS
Both teams to score40%2.18
Not both teams to score60%1.58
Halves
First-half goal59%fair 1.70
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.48
Second-half goal66%fair 1.51
Team goals
Kenya Police to score68%fair 1.48
AFC Leopards to score57%fair 1.76
Kenya Police clean sheet43%fair 2.31
AFC Leopards clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Kenya Police to win to nil38%fair 2.63
AFC Leopards to win to nil24%fair 4.22
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-015.8%
0-013.9%
1-113.2%
0-111.7%
2-08.9%
2-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
Kenya Police / Kenya Police24.3%
Draw / Draw21.9%
Draw / Kenya Police16.4%
AFC Leopards / AFC Leopards14.7%
Draw / AFC Leopards11.2%
Questions about Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards
Who is favourite in Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards?
The model gives Kenya Police the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 33%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 31%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Kenya Police find the net in 68% of simulated matches and AFC Leopards in 57%.
What time does Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards kick off?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.