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FKF Premier League Round 4 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
KCBHomeDWLWW
3:1Half-time 1:1
Mombasa EliteAwayLLDLL
562717
KCB winDrawMombasa Elite win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.14
1.46 : 0.68
Favourite
56%
KCB
Over 2.5 goals
35%
model chance
Both teams to score
38%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

KCB vs Mombasa Elite betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.673.185.102.431.442.271.54Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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KCB to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best KCB price at 1.67, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.18 and 1xBet have Mombasa Elite longest at 5.10.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.43 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.44 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.27 (1xBet) and no 1.54 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

56%

Our prediction

KCB to win
StrongExpected goals 1.46 : 0.68-6.6% against the best price
Double chanceKCB or draw
83% chance1.09
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.44
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.58fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance5.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time KCB, full-time KCB
34% chance2.93fair

KCB vs Mombasa Elite prediction

KCB vs Mombasa Elite prediction, who wins and at what price

KCB are a narrow favourite in the KCB vs Mombasa Elite prediction, rated 56% to win this FKF Premier League match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Mombasa Elite sit at 17% and the draw at 27%.

The goal expectancy is 2.14 in total, split 1.46 to KCB and 0.68 to Mombasa Elite. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 35% and both teams to score 38%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for KCB vs Mombasa Elite is kCB to win, a 56% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.67. That price implies 60%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

KCB or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.09.

KCB average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Mombasa Elite 0.4 and 1.6 across 5.

A low-scoring KCB vs Mombasa Elite? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines KCB vs Mombasa Elite reads 63% for over 1.5, 35% for over 2.5 and 17% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 65%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.44 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 38%, built from KCB scoring in 77% of runs and Mombasa Elite in 49%; clean sheets come at 51% for KCB and 23% for Mombasa Elite.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 17.2%, followed by 2-0 (12.5%) and 0-0 (11.8%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time KCB, full-time KCB is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.

All markets, KCB vs Mombasa Elite

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for KCB vs Mombasa Elite, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

KCB to win56%1.67
Draw27%3.18
Mombasa Elite to win17%5.10
KCB, draw no bet77%fair 1.30
Mombasa Elite, draw no bet23%fair 4.35

Double chance

KCB or draw83%1.09
Mombasa Elite or draw44%1.96
KCB or Mombasa Elite (no draw)73%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.58
Over 2.5 goals35%2.43
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.92
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.15
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.71
Under 2.5 goals65%1.44
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20

BTTS

Both teams to score38%2.27
Not both teams to score62%1.54

Halves

First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 3.98
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45

Team goals

KCB to score77%fair 1.30
Mombasa Elite to score49%fair 2.03
KCB clean sheet51%fair 1.97
Mombasa Elite clean sheet23%fair 4.31
KCB to win to nil47%fair 2.15
Mombasa Elite to win to nil15%fair 6.49

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-017.2%
2-012.5%
0-011.8%
1-111.7%
2-18.5%
0-18%

Half-time / full-time

KCB / KCB34.1%
Draw / KCB20%
Draw / Draw18.9%
Mombasa Elite / Mombasa Elite9.2%
Draw / Mombasa Elite7.4%

Questions about KCB vs Mombasa Elite

KCB or Mombasa Elite: which side does the model back?

The model gives KCB the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in KCB vs Mombasa Elite?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 35%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in KCB vs Mombasa Elite?

The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. KCB find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Mombasa Elite in 49%.

What time does KCB vs Mombasa Elite kick off?

Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, KCB v Mombasa EliteKCB to win, 56%
1.67Bet