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Live 8 UTC
FKF Premier League Round 5 Monday, 2 November 2026 Kick-off
ShabanaHomeWDDD
Mon 2 Nov
Kenya PoliceAwayDLDW
353332
Shabana winDrawKenya Police win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
1.86
0.95 : 0.91
Favourite
35%
Shabana
Over 2.5 goals
28%
model chance
Both teams to score
38%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for Shabana vs Kenya Police

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.592.712.722.881.322.291.53Bet
22Bet2.882.562.612.881.322.271.54Bet
Betwinner2.882.562.612.881.322.271.54Bet
Melbet2.882.562.612.881.322.271.54Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Shabana to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Shabana price at 2.88, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.71 and 1xBet have Kenya Police longest at 2.72.

The best-price payout across the three results is 92.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.32 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.29 (1xBet) and no 1.54 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

68%

Our prediction

Shabana or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.95 : 0.91-8.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.32
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
56% chance1.80fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
16% chance6.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.76fair

Shabana vs Kenya Police odds movement

Shabana win2.88+0.17
Draw2.71-0.09
Kenya Police win2.72-0.13
Over 2.5 goals2.88-0.12
Under 2.5 goals1.32-0.04

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Shabana vs Kenya Police prediction

Our Shabana vs Kenya Police prediction and pick

Shabana vs Kenya Police prediction for the FKF Premier League on Monday, 2 November 2026: the model calls it close, Shabana 35%, draw 33%, Kenya Police 32%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Shabana are expected to score 0.95 and Kenya Police 0.91, so the total line is 1.86 goals; over 2.5 lands at 28% and BTTS at 38%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is shabana or draw at 68%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.35. That price implies 74%, 6 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Shabana vs Kenya Police.

The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Shabana have won 1 of their last 4 with 2 scored and 1 conceded, Kenya Police 1 of 4 scoring 3 and conceding 3.

A low-scoring Shabana vs Kenya Police? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Shabana vs Kenya Police reads 56% for over 1.5, 28% for over 2.5 and 12% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 72%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.32 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 38%. Shabana score in 61% of simulations against a 39% clean sheet for Kenya Police; Kenya Police score in 60% while Shabana shut them out 40% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 15.6%, followed by 1-0 (14.8%) and 0-1 (14.2%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 57%.

All markets, Shabana vs Kenya Police

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Shabana vs Kenya Police, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Shabana to win35%2.88
Draw33%2.71
Kenya Police to win32%2.72
Shabana, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Kenya Police, draw no bet48%fair 2.09

Double chance

Shabana or draw68%1.35
Kenya Police or draw65%1.36
Shabana or Kenya Police (no draw)67%1.37

Goals

Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals56%fair 1.80
Over 2.5 goals28%2.88
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.40
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 24.39
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.25
Under 2.5 goals72%1.32
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14

BTTS

Both teams to score38%2.29
Not both teams to score62%1.54

Halves

First-half goal57%fair 1.76
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.88
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56

Team goals

Shabana to score61%fair 1.63
Kenya Police to score60%fair 1.68
Shabana clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Kenya Police clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Shabana to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Kenya Police to win to nil29%fair 3.40

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95

Most likely scores

0-015.6%
1-014.8%
0-114.2%
1-113.5%
2-07%
0-26.4%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw23.6%
Shabana / Shabana19.5%
Kenya Police / Kenya Police18.1%
Draw / Shabana14.2%
Draw / Kenya Police13.5%

Questions about Shabana vs Kenya Police

Shabana or Kenya Police: which side does the model back?

The model gives Shabana the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 33%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Shabana vs Kenya Police?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 28% backs the same picture with less variance.

Shabana vs Kenya Police both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. Shabana find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Kenya Police in 60%.

When is Shabana vs Kenya Police and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 13:15 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Shabana v Kenya PoliceShabana or draw, 68%
1.35Bet