FKF Premier League
Nairobi UnitedHomeDDDLD
1:1Half-time 0:1
APS BometAwayDLDWD522820
Nairobi United winDrawAPS Bomet win
Nairobi UnitedHomeDDDLDAPS BometAwayDLDWD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.14 1.40 : 0.74
- Favourite
- 52% Nairobi United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 41% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Nairobi United vs APS Bomet odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.77 | 3.12 | 4.46 | 2.38 | 1.49 | 2.15 | 1.60 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.03 | 3.05 | 3.66 | 2.34 | 1.50 | 2.34 | 1.50 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.77 | 3.13 | 4.47 | 2.38 | 1.49 | 2.15 | 1.60 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.03 | 3.05 | 3.66 | 2.34 | 1.50 | 2.34 | 1.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Nairobi United to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Nairobi United vs APS Bomet prediction: Nairobi United 2.03 (22Bet), draw 3.13 (Betwinner), APS Bomet 4.47 (Betwinner).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.38 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.50 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.34 (22Bet) and no 1.60 (Betwinner).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
52%
Our prediction
Nairobi United to win
Double chanceNairobi United or draw
81% chance1.22
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.60
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.58fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance6.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nairobi United, full-time Nairobi United
32% chance3.15fair
Nairobi United vs APS Bomet prediction
Nairobi United vs APS Bomet prediction and best bet
The Nairobi United vs APS Bomet prediction leans to Nairobi United: 52% against 19% for APS Bomet, with 28% left for the draw, in the FKF Premier League on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
Nairobi United are expected to score 1.40 and APS Bomet 0.74, so the total line is 2.14 goals; over 2.5 lands at 36% and BTTS at 41%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Nairobi United to win is the main selection, rated 52%. The best price in our comparison is 2.03 at 22Bet, which implies 49%, so the model sits 3 points above the market.
That gap is worth 6.5% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
Nairobi United or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.22.
Nairobi United average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, APS Bomet 0.8 and 0.4 across 5.
A low-scoring Nairobi United vs APS Bomet? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 64% and under 3.5 83%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 63% and over 2.5 at 36%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; 22Bet pay 1.50.
BTTS yes stands at 41%. Nairobi United score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for APS Bomet; APS Bomet score in 52% while Nairobi United shut them out 48% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 16.5%, followed by 1-1 (12.2%) and 0-0 (11.8%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Nairobi United, full-time Nairobi United is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.
Every market rated for Nairobi United vs APS Bomet
The grid built from 1.40 and 0.74 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Nairobi United to win52%2.03
Draw28%3.13
APS Bomet to win19%4.47
Nairobi United, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
APS Bomet, draw no bet27%fair 3.70
Double chance
Nairobi United or draw81%1.22
APS Bomet or draw48%1.84
Nairobi United or APS Bomet (no draw)72%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.58
Over 2.5 goals36%2.38
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.92
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.15
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.71
Under 2.5 goals64%1.50
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score41%2.34
Not both teams to score59%1.60
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 3.98
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Nairobi United to score75%fair 1.33
APS Bomet to score52%fair 1.91
Nairobi United clean sheet48%fair 2.10
APS Bomet clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Nairobi United to win to nil44%fair 2.28
APS Bomet to win to nil18%fair 5.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-016.5%
1-112.2%
0-011.8%
2-011.5%
0-18.7%
2-18.5%
Half-time / full-time
Nairobi United / Nairobi United31.7%
Draw / Draw19.2%
Draw / Nairobi United19.1%
APS Bomet / APS Bomet10.6%
Draw / APS Bomet8.3%
Questions about Nairobi United vs APS Bomet
Who is favourite in Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
The model gives Nairobi United the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 28%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 36% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. Nairobi United find the net in 75% of simulated matches and APS Bomet in 52%.
What time does Nairobi United vs APS Bomet kick off?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.