FKF Premier League
Migori YouthHomeDDDW
0:0Half-time 0:0
Mathare UnitedAwayDLDW403228
Migori Youth winDrawMathare United win
Migori YouthHomeDDDWMathare UnitedAwayDLDW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.84 1.03 : 0.81
- Favourite
- 40% Migori Youth
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 36% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Migori Youth vs Mathare United betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Migori Youth vs Mathare United yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
72%
Our prediction
Migori Youth or draw
1.39fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.55fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.82fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
56% chance1.78fair
Migori Youth vs Mathare United prediction
Migori Youth vs Mathare United prediction, who wins and at what price
Migori Youth host Mathare United on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the FKF Premier League, and the model has Migori Youth at 40%, the draw at 32% and Mathare United at 28%: that is the Migori Youth vs Mathare United prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.03 for Migori Youth and 0.81 for Mathare United, a total of 1.84, which puts over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams to score at 36%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Migori Youth or draw is the main selection, rated 72%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Migori Youth average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded across their last 4, Mathare United 0.5 and 0.5 across 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Migori Youth vs Mathare United
On the goal lines Migori Youth vs Mathare United reads 55% for over 1.5, 28% for over 2.5 and 12% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 72%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 36%, built from Migori Youth scoring in 64% of runs and Mathare United in 56%; clean sheets come at 45% for Migori Youth and 36% for Mathare United.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Migori Youth vs Mathare United: 1-0 (16.4%), 0-0 (15.9%) and 1-1 (13.3%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 56%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Migori Youth vs Mathare United
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Migori Youth vs Mathare United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Migori Youth to win40%fair 2.50
Draw32%fair 3.11
Mathare United to win28%fair 3.60
Migori Youth, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
Mathare United, draw no bet41%fair 2.44
Double chance
Migori Youth or draw72%fair 1.39
Mathare United or draw60%fair 1.67
Migori Youth or Mathare United (no draw)68%fair 1.47
Goals
Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.82
Over 2.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.70
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.64
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Under 2.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Under 3.5 goals89%fair 1.13
BTTS
Both teams to score36%fair 2.81
Not both teams to score64%fair 1.55
Halves
First-half goal56%fair 1.78
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.98
Second-half goal64%fair 1.57
Team goals
Migori Youth to score64%fair 1.56
Mathare United to score56%fair 1.80
Migori Youth clean sheet45%fair 2.25
Mathare United clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Migori Youth to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Mathare United to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
1-016.4%
0-015.9%
1-113.3%
0-112.9%
2-08.4%
2-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw23.7%
Migori Youth / Migori Youth22.6%
Draw / Migori Youth15.9%
Mathare United / Mathare United15.2%
Draw / Mathare United11.8%
Questions about Migori Youth vs Mathare United
Who is favourite in Migori Youth vs Mathare United?
The model gives Migori Youth the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 32%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Migori Youth vs Mathare United correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 28%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Migori Youth vs Mathare United both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. Migori Youth find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Mathare United in 56%.
What time does Migori Youth vs Mathare United kick off?
Migori Youth vs Mathare United starts at 11:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.