FKF Premier League
Migori YouthHomeDDDW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Mombasa EliteAwayLLDLL532918
Migori Youth winDrawMombasa Elite win
Migori YouthHomeDDDWMombasa EliteAwayLLDLL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.13 1.40 : 0.73
- Favourite
- 53% Migori Youth
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 41% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Best odds for Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.05 | 4.32 | 2.41 | 1.45 | 2.16 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.98 | 3.05 | 3.86 | 2.34 | 1.50 | 2.34 | 1.50 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.98 | 3.05 | 3.86 | 2.34 | 1.50 | 2.34 | 1.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Migori Youth to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite are 1.98 for Migori Youth at Betwinner, 3.05 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.32 for Mombasa Elite at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.41 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.50 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.34 (Betwinner) and no 1.59 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
53%
Our prediction
Migori Youth to win
Double chanceMigori Youth or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.59fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance6.02fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Migori Youth, full-time Migori Youth
32% chance3.13fairWon
Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite odds movement
Migori Youth win1.98-0.12
Draw3.05-0.05
Mombasa Elite win4.32-0.11
Over 2.5 goals2.41-0.09
Under 2.5 goals1.50unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite prediction
Our Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite prediction and pick
Migori Youth host Mombasa Elite on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the FKF Premier League, and the model has Migori Youth at 53%, the draw at 29% and Mombasa Elite at 19%: that is the Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite prediction in one line.
Migori Youth are expected to score 1.40 and Mombasa Elite 0.73, so the total line is 2.13 goals; over 2.5 lands at 35% and BTTS at 41%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite is migori Youth to win, a 53% chance. At 1.98 with Betwinner the market prices it at 51%, against 53% from the model.
A 4.1% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.
Migori Youth or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.20.
Form check: Migori Youth have won 1 of their last 4 with 4 scored and 2 conceded, Mombasa Elite 0 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 8.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite
Under 2.5 goals is rated 65% and under 3.5 83%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 63% and over 2.5 at 35%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; Betwinner pay 1.50.
The chance of both teams scoring is 41%, built from Migori Youth scoring in 75% of runs and Mombasa Elite in 52%; clean sheets come at 48% for Migori Youth and 25% for Mombasa Elite.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 16.6%, followed by 1-1 (12.1%) and 0-0 (11.9%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Migori Youth, full-time Migori Youth is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.
Every market rated for Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite
The grid built from 1.40 and 0.73 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Migori Youth to win53%1.98
Draw29%3.05
Mombasa Elite to win19%4.32
Migori Youth, draw no bet74%fair 1.36
Mombasa Elite, draw no bet26%fair 3.82
Double chance
Migori Youth or draw81%1.20
Mombasa Elite or draw47%1.79
Migori Youth or Mombasa Elite (no draw)71%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 2.5 goals35%2.41
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.38
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 2.5 goals65%1.50
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score41%2.34
Not both teams to score59%1.59
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.02
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Migori Youth to score75%fair 1.33
Mombasa Elite to score52%fair 1.93
Migori Youth clean sheet48%fair 2.07
Mombasa Elite clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Migori Youth to win to nil44%fair 2.26
Mombasa Elite to win to nil17%fair 5.81
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-016.6%
1-112.1%
0-011.9%
2-011.6%
0-18.7%
2-18.5%
Half-time / full-time
Migori Youth / Migori Youth31.9%
Draw / Draw19.3%
Draw / Migori Youth19.2%
Mombasa Elite / Mombasa Elite10.4%
Draw / Mombasa Elite8.2%
Questions about Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth or Mombasa Elite: which side does the model back?
The model gives Migori Youth the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 29%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 35%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite?
The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. Migori Youth find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Mombasa Elite in 52%.
What time does Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite kick off?
Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite starts at 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.