FKF Premier League
HomeboyzHomeWDLL
Sat 7 Nov
Kenya PoliceAwayDLDW383428
Homeboyz winDrawKenya Police win
HomeboyzHomeWDLLKenya PoliceAwayDLDW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.67 0.92 : 0.75
- Favourite
- 38% Homeboyz
- Over 2.5 goals
- 23% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 32% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Homeboyz vs Kenya Police odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
72%
Our prediction
Homeboyz or draw
1.39fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
77% chance1.31fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
68% chance1.46fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
50% chance2.01fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
19% chance5.32fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
26% chance3.80fair
First halfFirst-half goal
53% chance1.89fair
Homeboyz vs Kenya Police prediction
Our Homeboyz vs Kenya Police prediction and pick
Homeboyz host Kenya Police on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the FKF Premier League, and the model has Homeboyz at 38%, the draw at 34% and Kenya Police at 28%: that is the Homeboyz vs Kenya Police prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.92 for Homeboyz and 0.75 for Kenya Police, a total of 1.67, which puts over 2.5 goals at 23% and both teams to score at 32%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Homeboyz vs Kenya Police is homeboyz or draw, a 72% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
The draw is live at 34%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 4 matches Homeboyz stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Kenya Police show 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 4.
A low-scoring Homeboyz vs Kenya Police? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Homeboyz vs Kenya Police reads 50% for over 1.5, 23% for over 2.5 and 9% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 77%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 77%.
BTTS yes stands at 32%. Homeboyz score in 60% of simulations against a 40% clean sheet for Kenya Police; Kenya Police score in 53% while Homeboyz shut them out 47% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 18.8%, followed by 1-0 (17.3%) and 0-1 (14.1%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 53%.
All markets, Homeboyz vs Kenya Police
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Homeboyz vs Kenya Police, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Homeboyz to win38%fair 2.66
Draw34%fair 2.92
Kenya Police to win28%fair 3.56
Homeboyz, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Kenya Police, draw no bet43%fair 2.34
Double chance
Homeboyz or draw72%fair 1.39
Kenya Police or draw62%fair 1.60
Homeboyz or Kenya Police (no draw)66%fair 1.52
Goals
Over 0.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 goals50%fair 2.01
Over 2.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Over 3.5 goals9%fair 11.24
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 35.71
Under 1.5 goals50%fair 1.99
Under 2.5 goals77%fair 1.31
Under 3.5 goals91%fair 1.10
BTTS
Both teams to score32%fair 3.15
Not both teams to score68%fair 1.46
Halves
First-half goal53%fair 1.89
Over 1.5 first-half goals17%fair 5.75
Second-half goal60%fair 1.66
Team goals
Homeboyz to score60%fair 1.66
Kenya Police to score53%fair 1.89
Homeboyz clean sheet47%fair 2.12
Kenya Police clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Homeboyz to win to nil35%fair 2.89
Kenya Police to win to nil26%fair 3.86
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.07
Even number of goals52%fair 1.93
Most likely scores
0-018.8%
1-017.3%
0-114.1%
1-113%
2-08%
2-16%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw26.3%
Homeboyz / Homeboyz20.9%
Draw / Homeboyz15.6%
Kenya Police / Kenya Police15.1%
Draw / Kenya Police12.1%
Questions about Homeboyz vs Kenya Police
Homeboyz or Kenya Police: which side does the model back?
The model gives Homeboyz the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 23%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
The BTTS yes line is rated 32%. Homeboyz find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Kenya Police in 53%.
When is Homeboyz vs Kenya Police and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.