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FKF Premier League Round 5 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
GOR MahiaHomeWWWWL
1:2Half-time 1:2
KCBAwayDWLWW
473023
GOR Mahia winDrawKCB win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.03
1.26 : 0.77
Favourite
47%
GOR Mahia
Over 2.5 goals
33%
model chance
Both teams to score
40%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

GOR Mahia vs KCB odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.972.923.862.651.402.241.55Bet
22Bet2.012.983.862.501.452.441.46Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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GOR Mahia to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for GOR Mahia vs KCB are 2.01 for GOR Mahia at 22Bet, 2.98 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.86 for KCB at 22Bet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 91.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.65 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.45 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.44 (22Bet) and no 1.55 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

78%

Our prediction

GOR Mahia or draw
StrongLostExpected goals 1.26 : 0.77-6.9% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.45
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.55Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
60% chance1.66fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance6.06fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time GOR Mahia, full-time GOR Mahia
28% chance3.55fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.67fairWon

GOR Mahia vs KCB odds movement

GOR Mahia win2.01-0.06
Draw2.98-0.27
KCB win3.86-0.64
Over 2.5 goals2.65-0.04
Under 2.5 goals1.45-0.05

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

GOR Mahia vs KCB prediction

GOR Mahia vs KCB prediction, who wins and at what price

GOR Mahia vs KCB prediction for the FKF Premier League on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes GOR Mahia marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 30% and KCB at 22%.

GOR Mahia are expected to score 1.26 and KCB 0.77, so the total line is 2.03 goals; over 2.5 lands at 33% and BTTS at 40%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for GOR Mahia vs KCB is gOR Mahia or draw, a 78% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.20 at 22Bet, which implies 83%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on GOR Mahia vs KCB.

A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 5 matches GOR Mahia stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; KCB show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in GOR Mahia vs KCB

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 60%, over 2.5 at 33%, over 3.5 at 15%; under 2.5 is 67% and under 3.5 is 85%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 22Bet pay 1.45.

BTTS yes stands at 40%. GOR Mahia score in 72% of simulations against a 28% clean sheet for KCB; KCB score in 54% while GOR Mahia shut them out 46% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for GOR Mahia vs KCB: 1-0 (16.5%), 0-0 (13.1%) and 1-1 (12.7%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time GOR Mahia, full-time GOR Mahia is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 60%.

All markets, GOR Mahia vs KCB

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 30% / 22% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

GOR Mahia to win47%2.01
Draw30%2.98
KCB to win22%3.86
GOR Mahia, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
KCB, draw no bet32%fair 3.12

Double chance

GOR Mahia or draw78%1.20
KCB or draw53%1.68
GOR Mahia or KCB (no draw)70%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals60%fair 1.66
Over 2.5 goals33%2.65
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 18.18
Under 1.5 goals40%fair 2.51
Under 2.5 goals67%1.45
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.17

BTTS

Both teams to score40%2.44
Not both teams to score60%1.55

Halves

First-half goal60%fair 1.67
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.31
Second-half goal67%fair 1.49

Team goals

GOR Mahia to score72%fair 1.40
KCB to score54%fair 1.86
GOR Mahia clean sheet46%fair 2.16
KCB clean sheet28%fair 3.52
GOR Mahia to win to nil43%fair 2.35
KCB to win to nil21%fair 4.85

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96

Most likely scores

1-016.5%
0-013.1%
1-112.7%
2-010.4%
0-110.1%
2-18%

Half-time / full-time

GOR Mahia / GOR Mahia28.2%
Draw / Draw20.8%
Draw / GOR Mahia18%
KCB / KCB12.2%
Draw / KCB9.5%

Questions about GOR Mahia vs KCB

GOR Mahia or KCB: which side does the model back?

The model gives GOR Mahia the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for GOR Mahia vs KCB?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 33% backs the same picture with less variance.

GOR Mahia vs KCB both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. GOR Mahia find the net in 72% of simulated matches and KCB in 54%.

What time does GOR Mahia vs KCB kick off?

GOR Mahia vs KCB starts at 13:15 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, GOR Mahia v KCBGOR Mahia or draw, 78%
1.20Bet