Mombasa EliteHomeLLDLL
Kenya PoliceAwayDLDW
Mombasa EliteHomeLLDLL
Kenya PoliceAwayDLDWNo bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
Our prediction
The Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. FKF Premier League on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives Mombasa Elite a 37% chance, Kenya Police 31% and the draw 31%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.03 for Mombasa Elite and 0.91 for Kenya Police, a total of 1.94, which puts over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 39%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Mombasa Elite or Kenya Police (no draw) is the main selection, rated 69%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Mombasa Elite average 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Kenya Police 0.8 and 0.8 across 4.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 58%, over 2.5 at 31%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 69% and under 3.5 is 87%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 69%.
BTTS yes stands at 39%. Mombasa Elite score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Kenya Police; Kenya Police score in 60% while Mombasa Elite shut them out 40% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.8%, then 0-0 at 14.4% and 1-1 at 13.5%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Mombasa Elite the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 31% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Mombasa Elite find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Kenya Police in 60%.
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.