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Live 16 UTC
FKF Premier League Round 3 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Mombasa EliteHomeLLDLL
0:0Half-time 0:0
Kenya PoliceAwayDLDW
373132
Mombasa Elite winDrawKenya Police win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
1.94
1.03 : 0.91
Favourite
37%
Mombasa Elite
Over 2.5 goals
31%
model chance
Both teams to score
39%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

69%

Our prediction

Mombasa Elite or Kenya Police (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.03 : 0.91
1.46fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.63fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
58% chance1.73fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.76fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.72fair

Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police prediction

Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police prediction, who wins and at what price

The Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. FKF Premier League on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives Mombasa Elite a 37% chance, Kenya Police 31% and the draw 31%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Expected goals are 1.03 for Mombasa Elite and 0.91 for Kenya Police, a total of 1.94, which puts over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 39%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Mombasa Elite or Kenya Police (no draw) is the main selection, rated 69%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Mombasa Elite average 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Kenya Police 0.8 and 0.8 across 4.

A low-scoring Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 58%, over 2.5 at 31%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 69% and under 3.5 is 87%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 69%.

BTTS yes stands at 39%. Mombasa Elite score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Kenya Police; Kenya Police score in 60% while Mombasa Elite shut them out 40% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.8%, then 0-0 at 14.4% and 1-1 at 13.5%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Mombasa Elite to win37%fair 2.68
Draw31%fair 3.19
Kenya Police to win31%fair 3.18
Mombasa Elite, draw no bet54%fair 1.84
Kenya Police, draw no bet46%fair 2.19

Double chance

Mombasa Elite or draw69%fair 1.46
Kenya Police or draw63%fair 1.59
Mombasa Elite or Kenya Police (no draw)69%fair 1.46

Goals

Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals58%fair 1.73
Over 2.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.58
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 21.28
Under 1.5 goals42%fair 2.37
Under 2.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15

BTTS

Both teams to score39%fair 2.60
Not both teams to score62%fair 1.63

Halves

First-half goal58%fair 1.72
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.59
Second-half goal66%fair 1.52

Team goals

Mombasa Elite to score64%fair 1.56
Kenya Police to score60%fair 1.68
Mombasa Elite clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Kenya Police clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Mombasa Elite to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Kenya Police to win to nil29%fair 3.46

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96

Most likely scores

1-014.8%
0-014.4%
1-113.5%
0-113.1%
2-07.6%
2-16.9%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw22.5%
Mombasa Elite / Mombasa Elite21.2%
Kenya Police / Kenya Police17.2%
Draw / Mombasa Elite14.9%
Draw / Kenya Police12.7%

Questions about Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police

Mombasa Elite or Kenya Police: which side does the model back?

The model gives Mombasa Elite the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 31% backs the same picture with less variance.

Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Mombasa Elite find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Kenya Police in 60%.

What time does Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police kick off?

Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Mombasa Elite v Kenya PoliceMombasa Elite or Kenya Police (no draw), 69%
1.46fair