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Live 2 UTC
MLS Round 33 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
Nashville SCHomeWDWDW
3:2Half-time 1:2
New York Red BullsAwayLLWLL
671815
Nashville SC winDrawNew York Red Bulls win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
3.65
2.52 : 1.13
Favourite
67%
Nashville SC
Over 2.5 goals
70%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.415.756.001.323.381.482.68Bet
BC.Game1.395.206.001.313.201.482.46Bet
Betwinner1.415.756.001.323.381.522.54Bet
Melbet1.415.756.001.303.501.482.68Bet
Stake1.405.206.00--1.482.60Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Nashville SC to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls prediction: Nashville SC 1.41 (22Bet), draw 5.75 (22Bet), New York Red Bulls 6.00 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.32 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 3.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (Betwinner) and no 2.68 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

67%

Our prediction

Nashville SC to win
BankerWonExpected goals 2.52 : 1.13-6.1% against the best price
Double chanceNashville SC or draw
85% chance1.13Won
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
70% chance1.32Won
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.52Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.75fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nashville SC, full-time Nashville SC
46% chance2.19fairLost

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls odds movement

Nashville SC win1.41-0.11
Draw5.75unchanged
New York Red Bulls win6.00unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.32-0.05
Under 2.5 goals3.50unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls prediction

Our Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls prediction and pick

The Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls prediction leans to Nashville SC: 67% against 15% for New York Red Bulls, with 18% left for the draw, in the MLS on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

Expected goals are 2.52 for Nashville SC and 1.13 for New York Red Bulls, a total of 3.65, which puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 62%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is nashville SC to win at 67%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.41. That price implies 71%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls.

Nashville SC or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.13.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 3 conceded, New York Red Bulls 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 10.

Goals forecast for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 88%, over 2.5 at 70%, over 3.5 at 50%; under 2.5 is 30% and under 3.5 is 51%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 70%; Betwinner pay 1.32.

The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Nashville SC scoring in 92% of runs and New York Red Bulls in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Nashville SC and 8% for New York Red Bulls.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.3%, followed by 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (7.8%).

With the top scoreline at 9.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Nashville SC, full-time Nashville SC is the top combination at 46%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.

Every market rated for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Nashville SC to win67%1.41
Draw18%5.75
New York Red Bulls to win15%6.00
Nashville SC, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
New York Red Bulls, draw no bet18%fair 5.49

Double chance

Nashville SC or draw85%1.13
New York Red Bulls or draw33%2.94
Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls (no draw)82%1.14

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%1.32
Over 3.5 goals50%fair 2.02
Over 4.5 goals30%fair 3.30
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 2.5 goals30%3.50
Under 3.5 goals51%fair 1.98

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.52
Not both teams to score38%2.68

Halves

First-half goal81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.04
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15

Team goals

Nashville SC to score92%fair 1.09
New York Red Bulls to score68%fair 1.48
Nashville SC clean sheet32%fair 3.10
New York Red Bulls clean sheet8%fair 12.50
Nashville SC to win to nil30%fair 3.37
New York Red Bulls to win to nil7%fair 13.51

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.3%
2-08.3%
3-17.8%
1-17.4%
3-06.9%
1-06.5%

Half-time / full-time

Nashville SC / Nashville SC45.7%
Draw / Nashville SC17.9%
Draw / Draw8.9%
New York Red Bulls / New York Red Bulls8.4%
Draw / New York Red Bulls5.4%

Questions about Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls

Who will win Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?

The model gives Nashville SC the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 70% backs the same picture with less variance.

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Nashville SC find the net in 92% of simulated matches and New York Red Bulls in 68%.

When is Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 21:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Nashville SC v New York Red BullsNashville SC to win, 67%
1.41Bet