New York Red BullsHomeLLWLL
Inter MiamiAwayWWWLD
New York Red BullsHomeLLWLL
Inter MiamiAwayWWWLDNo bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
Our prediction
The New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami prediction leans to Inter Miami: 50% against 28% for New York Red Bulls, with 22% left for the draw, in the MLS on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.68 for New York Red Bulls and 2.24 for Inter Miami, a total of 3.92, which puts over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 74%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is new York Red Bulls or Inter Miami (no draw) at 78%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
New York Red Bulls average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Inter Miami 2.2 and 1.0 across 5.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 26% and under 3.5 45%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 90% and over 2.5 at 74%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 74%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 74%, built from New York Red Bulls scoring in 81% of runs and Inter Miami in 89%; clean sheets come at 11% for New York Red Bulls and 19% for Inter Miami.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 74%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 8.4%, then 1-1 at 7.5% and 2-2 at 7%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Inter Miami, full-time Inter Miami is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.
The grid built from 1.68 and 2.24 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Inter Miami the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 8.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 74% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 74%. New York Red Bulls find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Inter Miami in 89%.
New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami starts at 21:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.