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MLS Round 30 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
San Jose EarthquakesHomeDDLDW
1:1Half-time 0:1
Nashville SCAwayWDWDW
262351
San Jose Earthquakes winDrawNashville SC win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
3.33
1.37 : 1.96
Favourite
51%
Nashville SC
Over 2.5 goals
64%
model chance
Both teams to score
66%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Best odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

51%

Our prediction

Nashville SC to win
LeanExpected goals 1.37 : 1.96
1.97fair
Double chanceSan Jose Earthquakes or Nashville SC (no draw)
77% chance1.31fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.57fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.52fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nashville SC, full-time Nashville SC
32% chance3.10fair

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC prediction

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC prediction and best bet

Nashville SC are a narrow favourite in the San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC prediction, rated 51% to win this MLS match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. San Jose Earthquakes sit at 26% and the draw at 23%.

The goal expectancy is 3.33 in total, split 1.37 to San Jose Earthquakes and 1.96 to Nashville SC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 66%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Nashville SC to win is the main selection, rated 51%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

For a safer line, san Jose Earthquakes or Nashville SC (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes.

Over the last 5 matches San Jose Earthquakes stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Nashville SC show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC reads 85% for over 1.5, 64% for over 2.5 and 43% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 64%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from San Jose Earthquakes scoring in 75% of runs and Nashville SC in 86%; clean sheets come at 14% for San Jose Earthquakes and 25% for Nashville SC.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.6%, then 1-2 at 9.4% and 0-1 at 7%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nashville SC, full-time Nashville SC leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC

The grid built from 1.37 and 1.96 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

San Jose Earthquakes to win26%fair 3.86
Draw23%fair 4.27
Nashville SC to win51%fair 1.97
San Jose Earthquakes, draw no bet34%fair 2.96
Nashville SC, draw no bet66%fair 1.51

Double chance

San Jose Earthquakes or draw49%fair 2.03
Nashville SC or draw74%fair 1.35
San Jose Earthquakes or Nashville SC (no draw)77%fair 1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%fair 1.57
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.35
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 2.5 goals36%fair 2.75
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.74

BTTS

Both teams to score66%fair 1.52
Not both teams to score34%fair 2.92

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.26
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

San Jose Earthquakes to score75%fair 1.34
Nashville SC to score86%fair 1.16
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet14%fair 7.09
Nashville SC clean sheet25%fair 3.94
San Jose Earthquakes to win to nil13%fair 7.69
Nashville SC to win to nil23%fair 4.27

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.6%
1-29.4%
0-17%
0-26.9%
2-16.6%
2-26.5%

Half-time / full-time

Nashville SC / Nashville SC32.3%
San Jose Earthquakes / San Jose Earthquakes15.5%
Draw / Nashville SC15.5%
Draw / Draw11.6%
Draw / San Jose Earthquakes9.2%

Questions about San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC

Who is favourite in San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

The model gives Nashville SC the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 64%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. San Jose Earthquakes find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Nashville SC in 86%.

What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC kick off?

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC starts at 02:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SCNashville SC to win, 51%
1.97fair