MLS
Round 33 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
New York City FCHomeLDDWD
1:1Half-time 1:0
CF MontrealAwayLDLLD662014
New York City FC winDrawCF Montreal win
MLS
Round 33 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
New York City FCHomeLDDWDCF MontrealAwayLDLLD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.15 2.21 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 66% New York City FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for New York City FC vs CF Montreal
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.43 | 4.96 | 6.45 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.78 | 2.04 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.60 | 1.56 | 2.32 | 1.68 | 2.06 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.43 | 4.96 | 6.45 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.78 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.46 | 4.78 | 6.25 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.78 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.44 | 4.70 | 6.20 | 1.56 | 2.39 | 1.75 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
New York City FC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the New York City FC vs CF Montreal prediction: New York City FC 1.46 (Melbet), draw 4.96 (Betwinner), CF Montreal 6.60 (BC.Game).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.58 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.39 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (Melbet) and no 2.06 (BC.Game).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
66%
Our prediction
New York City FC to win
Double chanceNew York City FC or draw
85% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time New York City FC, full-time New York City FC
44% chance2.28fair
New York City FC vs CF Montreal prediction
New York City FC vs CF Montreal prediction and best bet
New York City FC host CF Montreal on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the MLS, and the model has New York City FC at 66%, the draw at 20% and CF Montreal at 15%: that is the New York City FC vs CF Montreal prediction in one line.
New York City FC are expected to score 2.21 and CF Montreal 0.94, so the total line is 3.15 goals; over 2.5 lands at 61% and BTTS at 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
New York City FC to win is the main selection, rated 66%. At 1.46 with Melbet the market prices it at 68%, against 66% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
New York City FC or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.12.
With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: New York City FC have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 7 conceded, CF Montreal 0 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 11.
Goals forecast for New York City FC vs CF Montreal with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines New York City FC vs CF Montreal reads 82% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.58 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. New York City FC score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for CF Montreal; CF Montreal score in 61% while New York City FC shut them out 39% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 10.5%, followed by 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time New York City FC, full-time New York City FC leads at 44%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for New York City FC vs CF Montreal
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 66% / 20% / 15% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
New York City FC to win66%1.46
Draw20%4.96
CF Montreal to win15%6.60
New York City FC, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
CF Montreal, draw no bet18%fair 5.49
Double chance
New York City FC or draw85%1.12
CF Montreal or draw34%2.80
New York City FC or CF Montreal (no draw)80%1.18
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.58
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 2.5 goals39%2.39
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.78
Not both teams to score46%2.06
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
New York City FC to score89%fair 1.12
CF Montreal to score61%fair 1.64
New York City FC clean sheet39%fair 2.56
CF Montreal clean sheet11%fair 9.09
New York City FC to win to nil36%fair 2.79
CF Montreal to win to nil10%fair 9.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010.5%
2-19.8%
1-09.5%
1-18.9%
3-07.7%
3-17.2%
Half-time / full-time
New York City FC / New York City FC43.8%
Draw / New York City FC19%
Draw / Draw10.9%
CF Montreal / CF Montreal8.1%
Draw / CF Montreal5.6%
Questions about New York City FC vs CF Montreal
Who will win New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
The model gives New York City FC the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
New York City FC vs CF Montreal both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. New York City FC find the net in 89% of simulated matches and CF Montreal in 61%.
What time does New York City FC vs CF Montreal kick off?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.