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Live 7 UTC
MLS Round 32 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
New England RevolutionHomeLWWWW
3:2Half-time 1:0
New York Red BullsAwayLLWLL
482329
New England Revolution winDrawNew York Red Bulls win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
3.51
1.99 : 1.52
Favourite
48%
New England Revolution
Over 2.5 goals
68%
model chance
Both teams to score
68%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.133.943.041.452.751.383.04Bet
BC.Game2.063.853.051.402.761.372.84Bet
Betwinner2.183.942.941.393.001.383.04Bet
Melbet2.183.942.941.393.001.383.04Bet
Stake2.153.852.90--1.402.85Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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New England Revolution to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best New England Revolution price at 2.18, Melbet lead the draw at 3.94 and BC.Game have New York Red Bulls longest at 3.05.

The best-price payout across the three results is 96%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.45 (22Bet) and under 2.5 3.00 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.40 (Stake) and no 3.04 (Betwinner).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

77%

Our prediction

New England Revolution or New York Red Bulls (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.99 : 1.52-4.1% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.45
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.40
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time New England Revolution, full-time New England Revolution
31% chance3.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.26fair

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls prediction

Our New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls prediction and pick

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls prediction for the MLS on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes New England Revolution a narrow favourite at 48%, with the draw at 23% and New York Red Bulls at 29%.

New England Revolution are expected to score 1.99 and New York Red Bulls 1.52, so the total line is 3.51 goals; over 2.5 lands at 68% and BTTS at 68%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is new England Revolution or New York Red Bulls (no draw) at 77%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls.

New England Revolution average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, New York Red Bulls 1.4 and 2.0 across 5.

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; 22Bet pay 1.45.

Both teams to score is 68%: New England Revolution find the net in 86% of simulated matches and New York Red Bulls in 78%. New England Revolution keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and New York Red Bulls 14%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (6.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time New England Revolution, full-time New England Revolution is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.

All markets, New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

New England Revolution to win48%2.18
Draw23%3.94
New York Red Bulls to win29%3.05
New England Revolution, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
New York Red Bulls, draw no bet37%fair 2.67

Double chance

New England Revolution or draw71%1.40
New York Red Bulls or draw52%1.71
New England Revolution or New York Red Bulls (no draw)77%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals68%1.45
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.15
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.62
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.41
Under 2.5 goals32%3.00
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.87

BTTS

Both teams to score68%1.40
Not both teams to score32%3.04

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.14
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17

Team goals

New England Revolution to score86%fair 1.16
New York Red Bulls to score78%fair 1.28
New England Revolution clean sheet22%fair 4.57
New York Red Bulls clean sheet14%fair 7.30
New England Revolution to win to nil20%fair 4.98
New York Red Bulls to win to nil13%fair 7.94

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19%
2-19%
1-26.9%
2-26.8%
3-16%
1-05.9%

Half-time / full-time

New England Revolution / New England Revolution30.6%
New York Red Bulls / New York Red Bulls17.4%
Draw / New England Revolution14.6%
Draw / Draw11%
Draw / New York Red Bulls9.7%

Questions about New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls

Who will win New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

The model gives New England Revolution the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 68% backs the same picture with less variance.

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. New England Revolution find the net in 86% of simulated matches and New York Red Bulls in 78%.

When is New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls and where is the result shown?

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls starts at 23:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, New England Revolution v New York Red BullsNew England Revolution or New York Red Bulls (no draw), 77%
1.25Bet