MLS
Round 33 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
St. Louis CityHomeLDLLL
0:1Half-time 0:1
San DiegoAwayDDDLW562024
St. Louis City winDrawSan Diego win
MLS
Round 33 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
St. Louis CityHomeLDLLLSan DiegoAwayDDDLW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.69 2.24 : 1.45
- Favourite
- 56% St. Louis City
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
St. Louis City vs San Diego betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.57 | 4.80 | 4.80 | 1.32 | 3.38 | 1.43 | 2.82 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.55 | 4.60 | 4.80 | 1.35 | 3.00 | 1.42 | 2.66 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.57 | 4.80 | 4.80 | 1.32 | 3.38 | 1.43 | 2.82 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.59 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 1.32 | 3.38 | 1.43 | 2.82 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.56 | 4.70 | 4.70 | - | - | 1.42 | 2.80 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
St. Louis City to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for St. Louis City vs San Diego are 1.59 for St. Louis City at Melbet, 4.80 for the draw at 22Bet and 4.80 for San Diego at 22Bet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.35 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.38 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.43 (Betwinner) and no 2.82 (Betwinner).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
56%
Our prediction
St. Louis City to win
Double chanceSt. Louis City or San Diego (no draw)
80% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
71% chance1.35
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.43
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time St. Louis City, full-time St. Louis City
36% chance2.79fair
St. Louis City vs San Diego prediction
Our St. Louis City vs San Diego prediction and pick
St. Louis City are a narrow favourite in the St. Louis City vs San Diego prediction, rated 56% to win this MLS match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. San Diego sit at 25% and the draw at 20%.
St. Louis City are expected to score 2.24 and San Diego 1.45, so the total line is 3.69 goals; over 2.5 lands at 71% and BTTS at 68%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for St. Louis City vs San Diego is st. Louis City to win, a 56% chance. Melbet offer the top price at 1.59. That price implies 63%, 7 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
St. Louis City or San Diego (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.19.
With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: St. Louis City have won 0 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 10 conceded, San Diego 1 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 11.
Goals forecast for St. Louis City vs San Diego with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 29% and under 3.5 50%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 71%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 71%, best priced 1.35 at BC.Game.
Both teams to score is 68%: St. Louis City find the net in 89% of simulated matches and San Diego in 77%. St. Louis City keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and San Diego 11%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.1%, followed by 1-1 (8.1%) and 3-1 (6.8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time St. Louis City, full-time St. Louis City is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
Every market for St. Louis City vs San Diego
The grid built from 2.24 and 1.45 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
St. Louis City to win56%1.59
Draw20%4.80
San Diego to win25%4.80
St. Louis City, draw no bet69%fair 1.44
San Diego, draw no bet31%fair 3.27
Double chance
St. Louis City or draw76%1.19
San Diego or draw44%2.40
St. Louis City or San Diego (no draw)80%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.35
Over 3.5 goals50%fair 1.98
Over 4.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Under 2.5 goals29%3.38
Under 3.5 goals50%fair 2.02
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.43
Not both teams to score32%2.82
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.02
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
St. Louis City to score89%fair 1.12
San Diego to score77%fair 1.31
St. Louis City clean sheet24%fair 4.26
San Diego clean sheet11%fair 9.43
St. Louis City to win to nil22%fair 4.63
San Diego to win to nil10%fair 10.20
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.1%
1-18.1%
3-16.8%
2-26.6%
2-06.3%
1-25.9%
Half-time / full-time
St. Louis City / St. Louis City35.8%
Draw / St. Louis City15.6%
San Diego / San Diego14.2%
Draw / Draw10%
Draw / San Diego8.1%
Questions about St. Louis City vs San Diego
Who is favourite in St. Louis City vs San Diego?
The model gives St. Louis City the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in St. Louis City vs San Diego?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 71%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in St. Louis City vs San Diego?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. St. Louis City find the net in 89% of simulated matches and San Diego in 77%.
What time does St. Louis City vs San Diego kick off?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.