MLS
Round 33 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
Sporting Kansas CityHomeLLLLD
1:1Half-time 1:1
FC DallasAwayWDWLD262351
Sporting Kansas City winDrawFC Dallas win
MLS
Round 33 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
Sporting Kansas CityHomeLLLLDFC DallasAwayWDWLD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.44 1.40 : 2.04
- Favourite
- 52% FC Dallas
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 3.12 | 4.02 | 2.06 | 1.49 | 2.63 | 1.48 | 2.68 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.15 | 3.85 | 2.00 | 1.46 | 2.58 | 1.43 | 2.62 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.12 | 4.02 | 2.06 | 1.49 | 2.63 | 1.48 | 2.68 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.12 | 4.02 | 2.06 | 1.49 | 2.63 | 1.48 | 2.68 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.15 | 3.80 | 2.03 | 1.46 | 2.65 | 1.44 | 2.75 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Dallas to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction: Sporting Kansas City 3.15 (Stake), draw 4.02 (Betwinner), FC Dallas 2.06 (Betwinner).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.49 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.65 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (Melbet) and no 2.75 (Stake).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
52%
Our prediction
FC Dallas to win
Double chanceSporting Kansas City or FC Dallas (no draw)
77% chance1.24
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.49
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Dallas, full-time FC Dallas
33% chance3.01fair
Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas head to head
0Sporting Kansas City wins
0Draws
1FC Dallas wins
- 6 Sep 26FC Dallas4:3Sporting Kansas City
1 meeting since coverage began, 7 goals in total: Sporting Kansas City scored 3, FC Dallas scored 4.
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction, who wins and at what price
Sporting Kansas City host FC Dallas on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the MLS, and the model has FC Dallas at 52%, the draw at 23% and Sporting Kansas City at 26%: that is the Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction in one line.
Sporting Kansas City are expected to score 1.40 and FC Dallas 2.04, so the total line is 3.44 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas is fC Dallas to win, a 52% chance. At 2.06 with Betwinner the market prices it at 48%, against 52% from the model.
A 6.9% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.
For a safer line, sporting Kansas City or FC Dallas (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.24.
Form check: Sporting Kansas City have won 0 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 13 conceded, FC Dallas 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 5.
Goals forecast for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 45% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 34%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; Betwinner pay 1.49.
BTTS yes stands at 67%. Sporting Kansas City score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for FC Dallas; FC Dallas score in 87% while Sporting Kansas City shut them out 13% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.3%, then 1-1 at 9.2% and 0-2 at 6.7%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Dallas, full-time FC Dallas leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 26% / 23% / 52% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sporting Kansas City to win26%3.15
Draw23%4.02
FC Dallas to win52%2.06
Sporting Kansas City, draw no bet33%fair 3.02
FC Dallas, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Double chance
Sporting Kansas City or draw48%1.76
FC Dallas or draw74%1.36
Sporting Kansas City or FC Dallas (no draw)77%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.80
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 2.5 goals34%2.65
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.82
BTTS
Both teams to score67%1.48
Not both teams to score34%2.75
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.18
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Sporting Kansas City to score75%fair 1.33
FC Dallas to score87%fair 1.15
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet13%fair 7.69
FC Dallas clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Sporting Kansas City to win to nil12%fair 8.33
FC Dallas to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.3%
1-19.2%
0-26.7%
0-16.5%
2-26.5%
2-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
FC Dallas / FC Dallas33.2%
Draw / FC Dallas15.5%
Sporting Kansas City / Sporting Kansas City15.2%
Draw / Draw11.1%
Draw / Sporting Kansas City8.9%
Questions about Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City or FC Dallas: which side does the model back?
The model gives FC Dallas the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Sporting Kansas City find the net in 75% of simulated matches and FC Dallas in 87%.
When do Sporting Kansas City play FC Dallas?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.