FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction

Our FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 38% home, 24% draw and 38% away in the MLS. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 3.59 in total, split 1.80 to FC Cincinnati and 1.79 to Philadelphia Union. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 70% and both teams to score 70%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 22Bet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

FC Cincinnati average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Philadelphia Union 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 87%, over 2.5 at 70%, over 3.5 at 48%; under 2.5 is 30% and under 3.5 is 52%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.49 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 70%. FC Cincinnati score in 84% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Philadelphia Union; Philadelphia Union score in 83% while FC Cincinnati shut them out 17% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union: 1-1 (8.9%), 2-1 (8%) and 1-2 (8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Cincinnati, full-time FC Cincinnati is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.