MLS
Round 32 Thursday, 29 October 2026
FT
Nashville SCHomeWDWDW
0:0Half-time 0:0
Philadelphia UnionAwayWDLDL522523
Nashville SC winDrawPhiladelphia Union win
MLS
Round 32 Thursday, 29 October 2026
FT
Nashville SCHomeWDWDWPhiladelphia UnionAwayWDLDL- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.03 1.85 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 52% Nashville SC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.76 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.89 | 3.55 | 3.75 | 1.65 | 2.14 | 1.57 | 2.24 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.78 | 1.84 | 1.97 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.78 | 1.84 | 1.97 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.95 | 3.55 | 3.60 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.20 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Nashville SC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction: Nashville SC 2.01 (22Bet), draw 3.60 (Melbet), Philadelphia Union 3.78 (Melbet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 96.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.84 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.14 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (Stake) and no 2.25 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
52%
Our prediction
Nashville SC to win
Double chanceNashville SC or draw
77% chance1.29
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.84
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nashville SC, full-time Nashville SC
33% chance3.00fair
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction, who wins and at what price
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction for the MLS on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes Nashville SC a narrow favourite at 52%, with the draw at 25% and Philadelphia Union at 23%.
Expected goals are 1.85 for Nashville SC and 1.18 for Philadelphia Union, a total of 3.03, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Nashville SC to win is the main selection, rated 52%. 22Bet offer the top price at 2.01. That price implies 50%, 2 points under the model figure.
That gap is worth 4.5% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
For a safer line, nashville SC or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.29.
Nashville SC average 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Philadelphia Union 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.
How many goals in Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.84 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 60%. Nashville SC score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Philadelphia Union; Philadelphia Union score in 69% while Nashville SC shut them out 31% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.5%, then 2-1 at 9.8% and 1-0 at 8.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nashville SC, full-time Nashville SC leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Nashville SC to win52%2.01
Draw25%3.60
Philadelphia Union to win23%3.78
Nashville SC, draw no bet69%fair 1.44
Philadelphia Union, draw no bet31%fair 3.27
Double chance
Nashville SC or draw77%1.29
Philadelphia Union or draw48%1.84
Nashville SC or Philadelphia Union (no draw)75%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.84
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 2.5 goals42%2.14
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.65
Not both teams to score40%2.25
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.53
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Nashville SC to score84%fair 1.19
Philadelphia Union to score69%fair 1.44
Nashville SC clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Philadelphia Union clean sheet16%fair 6.37
Nashville SC to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Philadelphia Union to win to nil15%fair 6.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.5%
2-19.8%
1-08.9%
2-08.3%
1-26.2%
3-16%
Half-time / full-time
Nashville SC / Nashville SC33.3%
Draw / Nashville SC16.6%
Philadelphia Union / Philadelphia Union13.7%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / Philadelphia Union8.7%
Questions about Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
Who will win Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
The model gives Nashville SC the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Nashville SC find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Philadelphia Union in 69%.
What time does Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union starts at 00:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.