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MLS Round 33 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
San Jose EarthquakesHomeDDLDW
2:1Half-time 2:1
Real Salt LakeAwayDWWWL
422434
San Jose Earthquakes winDrawReal Salt Lake win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
3.30
1.73 : 1.57
Favourite
42%
San Jose Earthquakes
Over 2.5 goals
64%
model chance
Both teams to score
66%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.543.982.451.492.631.482.68Bet
BC.Game2.503.802.441.492.481.442.60Bet
Betwinner2.543.982.451.492.631.482.68Bet
Melbet2.543.982.451.492.631.482.68Bet
Stake2.483.752.501.492.551.452.70Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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San Jose Earthquakes to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake prediction: San Jose Earthquakes 2.54 (Betwinner), draw 3.98 (Betwinner), Real Salt Lake 2.50 (Stake).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.49 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (Betwinner) and no 2.70 (Stake).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

76%

Our prediction

San Jose Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.73 : 1.57-5.1% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.49
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time San Jose Earthquakes, full-time San Jose Earthquakes
26% chance3.92fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.29fair

San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake head to head

0San Jose Earthquakes wins
1Draw
0Real Salt Lake wins
  • 15 Oct 26Real Salt Lake1:1San Jose Earthquakes

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: San Jose Earthquakes scored 1, Real Salt Lake scored 1.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake prediction

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake prediction and best bet

The San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. MLS on Saturday, 31 October 2026 gives San Jose Earthquakes a 42% chance, Real Salt Lake 34% and the draw 24%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 3.30 in total, split 1.73 to San Jose Earthquakes and 1.57 to Real Salt Lake. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 66%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is san Jose Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake (no draw) at 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at Betwinner, which implies 80%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake.

San Jose Earthquakes average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Real Salt Lake 2.0 and 1.0 across 5.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake reads 84% for over 1.5, 64% for over 2.5 and 42% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; BC.Game pay 1.49.

BTTS yes stands at 66%. San Jose Earthquakes score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Real Salt Lake; Real Salt Lake score in 79% while San Jose Earthquakes shut them out 21% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time San Jose Earthquakes, full-time San Jose Earthquakes is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

Every market rated for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 24% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

San Jose Earthquakes to win42%2.54
Draw24%3.98
Real Salt Lake to win34%2.50
San Jose Earthquakes, draw no bet55%fair 1.82
Real Salt Lake, draw no bet45%fair 2.21

Double chance

San Jose Earthquakes or draw66%1.55
Real Salt Lake or draw58%1.51
San Jose Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake (no draw)76%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals64%1.49
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.38
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.22
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 2.5 goals36%2.63
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.72

BTTS

Both teams to score66%1.48
Not both teams to score35%2.70

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.29
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

San Jose Earthquakes to score82%fair 1.22
Real Salt Lake to score79%fair 1.26
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Real Salt Lake clean sheet18%fair 5.65
San Jose Earthquakes to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Real Salt Lake to win to nil16%fair 6.13

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110%
2-18.7%
1-27.9%
2-26.8%
1-06.4%
0-15.8%

Half-time / full-time

San Jose Earthquakes / San Jose Earthquakes25.5%
Real Salt Lake / Real Salt Lake21%
Draw / San Jose Earthquakes13.3%
Draw / Draw12.1%
Draw / Real Salt Lake11.5%

Questions about San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake

San Jose Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake: which side does the model back?

The model gives San Jose Earthquakes the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?

The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. San Jose Earthquakes find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Real Salt Lake in 79%.

When do San Jose Earthquakes play Real Salt Lake?

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake starts at 21:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt LakeSan Jose Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake (no draw), 76%
1.25Bet