Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction and best bet

Heerenveen are marginally ahead in the Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, rated 45% to win this Eredivisie match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. NEC Nijmegen sit at 30% and the draw at 24%.

Expected goals are 1.95 for Heerenveen and 1.59 for NEC Nijmegen, a total of 3.54, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 71%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Heerenveen or NEC Nijmegen (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. At 1.27 with 22Bet the market prices it at 79%, against 76% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Heerenveen stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; NEC Nijmegen show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.49 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 71%, built from Heerenveen scoring in 86% of runs and NEC Nijmegen in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Heerenveen and 14% for NEC Nijmegen.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, followed by 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Heerenveen, full-time Heerenveen is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.