Eredivisie
Round 11 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
ExcelsiorHomeLLLWL
0:9Half-time 0:5
TwenteAwayWLWWW162064
Excelsior winDrawTwente win
Eredivisie
Round 11 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
ExcelsiorHomeLLLWLTwenteAwayWLWWW- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.42 1.11 : 2.31
- Favourite
- 64% Twente
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Excelsior vs Twente
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.67 | 4.74 | 1.53 | 1.45 | 2.66 | 1.54 | 2.32 | Bet |
 22Bet | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.49 | 2.63 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 5.80 | 4.50 | 1.47 | 1.46 | 2.58 | 1.58 | 2.26 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.49 | 2.63 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Melbet | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.49 | 2.63 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Stake | 5.80 | 4.80 | 1.48 | 1.43 | 2.70 | 1.57 | 2.25 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Twente to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Excelsior vs Twente are 6.00 for Excelsior at Melbet, 4.80 for the draw at Stake and 1.53 for Twente at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.49 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.70 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (BC.Game) and no 2.42 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
64%
Our prediction
Twente to win
Double chanceTwente or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.31fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Twente, full-time Twente
43% chance2.35fairWon
Excelsior vs Twente odds movement
Excelsior win6.00-0.30
Draw4.80-0.10
Twente win1.53unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.49-0.01
Under 2.5 goals2.70-0.02
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Excelsior vs Twente prediction
Excelsior vs Twente prediction and best bet
The Excelsior vs Twente prediction leans to Twente: 64% against 16% for Excelsior, with 20% left for the draw, in the Eredivisie on Sunday, 1 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.42 in total, split 1.11 to Excelsior and 2.31 to Twente. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 66% and both teams to score 62%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Twente to win is the main selection, rated 64%. The best price in our comparison is 1.53 at 1xBet, which implies 65%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Twente or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.16.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Excelsior average 0.8 goals scored and 3.8 conceded across their last 5, Twente 3.4 and 0.6 across 5.
Excelsior vs Twente over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 55%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 66%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; Melbet pay 1.49.
The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Excelsior scoring in 67% of runs and Twente in 90%; clean sheets come at 10% for Excelsior and 33% for Twente.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.7%, then 0-2 at 8.7% and 1-1 at 8.4%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Twente, full-time Twente leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Excelsior vs Twente
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 16% / 20% / 64% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Excelsior to win16%6.00
Draw20%4.80
Twente to win64%1.53
Excelsior, draw no bet20%fair 4.98
Twente, draw no bet80%fair 1.25
Double chance
Excelsior or draw36%2.63
Twente or draw84%1.16
Excelsior or Twente (no draw)80%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.49
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.24
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.86
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 2.5 goals35%2.70
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.81
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.58
Not both teams to score39%2.42
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.20
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Excelsior to score67%fair 1.49
Twente to score90%fair 1.11
Excelsior clean sheet10%fair 10.10
Twente clean sheet33%fair 3.03
Excelsior to win to nil9%fair 10.99
Twente to win to nil30%fair 3.30
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.7%
0-28.7%
1-18.4%
0-17.6%
1-37.5%
0-36.7%
Half-time / full-time
Twente / Twente42.6%
Draw / Twente17.9%
Draw / Draw10.1%
Excelsior / Excelsior9.4%
Draw / Excelsior6.1%
Questions about Excelsior vs Twente
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
The model gives Twente the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Excelsior vs Twente correct score: what does the model say?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.
Excelsior vs Twente both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Excelsior find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Twente in 90%.
What time does Excelsior vs Twente kick off?
Excelsior vs Twente starts at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.