Skip to the predictions
Live 1 UTC
Eredivisie Round 11 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
PSV EindhovenHomeLLWDW
7:0Half-time 2:0
Willem IIAwayLLLWL
9154
PSV Eindhoven winDrawWillem II win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
5.04
4.18 : 0.86
Favourite
91%
PSV Eindhoven
Over 2.5 goals
87%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.0517.5033.001.125.451.791.92Bet
22Bet1.0713.5022.001.214.481.891.92Bet
BC.Game1.0612.0020.001.194.301.961.77Bet
Betwinner1.0713.5022.00--1.891.92Bet
Melbet1.0713.5022.00--1.891.92Bet
Stake1.0712.0024.00--1.921.78Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

PSV Eindhoven to win partner prices

Stake pay the best PSV Eindhoven price at 1.07, 1xBet lead the draw at 17.50 and 1xBet have Willem II longest at 33.00.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.21 (22Bet) and under 2.5 5.45 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.96 (BC.Game) and no 1.92 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

91%

Our prediction

PSV Eindhoven to win
BankerExpected goals 4.18 : 0.86-2.8% against the best price
Double chancePSV Eindhoven or draw
96% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
87% chance1.21
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.96
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
95% chance1.05fair
ScorelineCorrect score 4-0
8% chance12.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time PSV Eindhoven, full-time PSV Eindhoven
71% chance1.41fair

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction, who wins and at what price

PSV Eindhoven host Willem II on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Eredivisie, and the model has PSV Eindhoven at 91%, the draw at 5% and Willem II at 4%: that is the PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction in one line.

PSV Eindhoven are expected to score 4.18 and Willem II 0.86, so the total line is 5.04 goals; over 2.5 lands at 87% and BTTS at 55%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

PSV Eindhoven to win is the main selection, rated 91%. Stake offer the top price at 1.07. That price implies 93%, 3 points over the model figure.

PSV Eindhoven or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 96% chance, priced -.

The draw sits at only 5%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

PSV Eindhoven average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Willem II 1.6 and 4.4 across 5.

Goals forecast for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II reads 95% for over 1.5, 87% for over 2.5 and 73% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 13%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 87%; 22Bet pay 1.21.

Both teams to score is 55%: PSV Eindhoven find the net in 99% of simulated matches and Willem II in 58%. PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Willem II 2%.

Correct score: 4-0 leads at 8.2%, then 3-0 at 7.9% and 4-1 at 7.1%.

With the top scoreline at 8.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time PSV Eindhoven, full-time PSV Eindhoven leads at 71%. A goal before the break is rated 90%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

PSV Eindhoven to win91%1.07
Draw5%17.50
Willem II to win4%33.00
PSV Eindhoven, draw no bet96%fair 1.04
Willem II, draw no bet4%fair 24.39

Double chance

PSV Eindhoven or draw96%-
Willem II or draw9%11.44
PSV Eindhoven or Willem II (no draw)95%1.02

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 2.5 goals87%1.21
Over 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 4.5 goals56%fair 1.80
Under 1.5 goals5%fair 20.00
Under 2.5 goals13%5.45
Under 3.5 goals27%fair 3.70

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.96
Not both teams to score45%1.92

Halves

First-half goal90%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 first-half goals66%fair 1.51
Second-half goal94%fair 1.07

Team goals

PSV Eindhoven to score99%fair 1.02
Willem II to score58%fair 1.73
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet42%fair 2.36
Willem II clean sheet2%fair 66.67
PSV Eindhoven to win to nil39%fair 2.57
Willem II to win to nil1%fair 71.43

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

4-08.2%
3-07.9%
4-17.1%
5-06.9%
3-16.8%
5-15.9%

Half-time / full-time

PSV Eindhoven / PSV Eindhoven70.9%
Draw / PSV Eindhoven15.1%
Willem II / PSV Eindhoven3.4%
Draw / Draw2.9%
Willem II / Willem II1.7%

Questions about PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II

PSV Eindhoven or Willem II: which side does the model back?

The model gives PSV Eindhoven the best chance at 91%, with the draw at 5%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

4-0 is the most likely scoreline at 8.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 87%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. PSV Eindhoven find the net in 99% of simulated matches and Willem II in 58%.

When do PSV Eindhoven play Willem II?

Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, PSV Eindhoven v Willem IIPSV Eindhoven to win, 91%
1.07Bet