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Live 12 UTC
Europa League Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026 FT
Dinamo ZagrebHomeWWLWL
2:4Half-time 2:2
NEC NijmegenAwayDDWDL
661915
Dinamo Zagreb winDrawNEC Nijmegen win
Kick-off
Thu 22 Oct
Expected goals
3.30
2.29 : 1.01
Favourite
66%
Dinamo Zagreb
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.514.776.241.522.481.632.17Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Dinamo Zagreb to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: Dinamo Zagreb 1.51 (1xBet), draw 4.77 (1xBet), NEC Nijmegen 6.24 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.52 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.48 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.17 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

66%

Our prediction

Dinamo Zagreb to win
BankerExpected goals 2.29 : 1.01-0.5% against the best price
Double chanceDinamo Zagreb or draw
85% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.52
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Dinamo Zagreb, full-time Dinamo Zagreb
44% chance2.27fair

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction and best bet

The Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction leans to Dinamo Zagreb: 66% against 15% for NEC Nijmegen, with 19% left for the draw, in the Europa League on Thursday, 22 October 2026.

Dinamo Zagreb are expected to score 2.29 and NEC Nijmegen 1.01, so the total line is 3.30 goals; over 2.5 lands at 63% and BTTS at 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Dinamo Zagreb to win is the main selection, rated 66%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.51. That price implies 66%, 0 points over the model figure.

Dinamo Zagreb or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.15.

The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Dinamo Zagreb have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 7 conceded, NEC Nijmegen 1 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 8.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen reads 84% for over 1.5, 63% for over 2.5 and 42% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.52.

Both teams to score is 58%: Dinamo Zagreb find the net in 90% of simulated matches and NEC Nijmegen in 64%. Dinamo Zagreb keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and NEC Nijmegen 10%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: 2-1 (9.8%), 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-1 (8.5%).

With the top scoreline at 9.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Dinamo Zagreb, full-time Dinamo Zagreb leads at 44%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Dinamo Zagreb to win66%1.51
Draw19%4.77
NEC Nijmegen to win15%6.24
Dinamo Zagreb, draw no bet82%fair 1.23
NEC Nijmegen, draw no bet18%fair 5.43

Double chance

Dinamo Zagreb or draw85%1.15
NEC Nijmegen or draw34%2.70
Dinamo Zagreb or NEC Nijmegen (no draw)81%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.52
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.38
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.22
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 2.5 goals37%2.48
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.72

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.63
Not both teams to score42%2.17

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.29
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

Dinamo Zagreb to score90%fair 1.11
NEC Nijmegen to score64%fair 1.57
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet36%fair 2.75
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet10%fair 9.90
Dinamo Zagreb to win to nil34%fair 2.99
NEC Nijmegen to win to nil9%fair 10.75

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
2-09.7%
1-18.5%
1-08.4%
3-17.5%
3-07.4%

Half-time / full-time

Dinamo Zagreb / Dinamo Zagreb44%
Draw / Dinamo Zagreb18.6%
Draw / Draw10.3%
NEC Nijmegen / NEC Nijmegen8.4%
Draw / NEC Nijmegen5.7%

Questions about Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen

Dinamo Zagreb or NEC Nijmegen: which side does the model back?

The model gives Dinamo Zagreb the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 19%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Dinamo Zagreb find the net in 90% of simulated matches and NEC Nijmegen in 64%.

What time does Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen kick off?

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen starts at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Dinamo Zagreb v NEC NijmegenDinamo Zagreb to win, 66%
1.51Bet