NEC NijmegenHomeDDWDL
GroningenAwayWLDLL
NEC NijmegenHomeDDWDL
GroningenAwayWLDLL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | 3.90 | 2.97 | 1.38 | 2.92 | 1.33 | 3.02 | Bet | |
| 1.89 | 4.00 | 3.35 | 1.41 | 2.74 | 1.40 | 2.78 | Bet | |
| 1.92 | 4.00 | 3.45 | 1.39 | 2.85 | 1.40 | 2.75 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen are 2.23 for NEC Nijmegen at 1xBet, 4.00 for the draw at BC.Game and 3.45 for Groningen at Stake.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 101.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.92 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.40 (BC.Game) and no 3.02 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
The NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Eredivisie on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives NEC Nijmegen a 42% chance, Groningen 34% and the draw 23%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 3.74 in total, split 1.97 to NEC Nijmegen and 1.77 to Groningen. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 72% and both teams to score 72%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
NEC Nijmegen or Groningen (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.27 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 77% from the model.
Form check: NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 8 conceded, Groningen 1 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 13.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 72%, over 3.5 at 51%; under 2.5 is 28% and under 3.5 is 49%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%; BC.Game pay 1.41.
The chance of both teams scoring is 72%, built from NEC Nijmegen scoring in 86% of runs and Groningen in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for NEC Nijmegen and 14% for Groningen.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 8.3%, then 2-1 at 8.2% and 1-2 at 7.3%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time NEC Nijmegen, full-time NEC Nijmegen leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives NEC Nijmegen the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 72% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 72%. NEC Nijmegen find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Groningen in 83%.
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.