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Live 15 UTC
Eredivisie Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
NEC NijmegenHomeDDWDL
2:2Half-time 0:2
GroningenAwayWLDLL
422335
NEC Nijmegen winDrawGroningen win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.74
1.97 : 1.77
Favourite
42%
NEC Nijmegen
Over 2.5 goals
72%
model chance
Both teams to score
72%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.233.902.971.382.921.333.02Bet
BC.Game1.894.003.351.412.741.402.78Bet
Stake1.924.003.451.392.851.402.75Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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NEC Nijmegen to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen are 2.23 for NEC Nijmegen at 1xBet, 4.00 for the draw at BC.Game and 3.45 for Groningen at Stake.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 101.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.92 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.40 (BC.Game) and no 3.02 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

77%

Our prediction

NEC Nijmegen or Groningen (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.97 : 1.77-2.6% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
72% chance1.41
BTTSBoth teams to score
72% chance1.40
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
8% chance12.05fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time NEC Nijmegen, full-time NEC Nijmegen
27% chance3.72fair
First halfFirst-half goal
81% chance1.23fair

NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction

NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction, who wins and at what price

The NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Eredivisie on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives NEC Nijmegen a 42% chance, Groningen 34% and the draw 23%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 3.74 in total, split 1.97 to NEC Nijmegen and 1.77 to Groningen. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 72% and both teams to score 72%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

NEC Nijmegen or Groningen (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.27 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 77% from the model.

Form check: NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 8 conceded, Groningen 1 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 13.

Goals forecast for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 72%, over 3.5 at 51%; under 2.5 is 28% and under 3.5 is 49%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%; BC.Game pay 1.41.

The chance of both teams scoring is 72%, built from NEC Nijmegen scoring in 86% of runs and Groningen in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for NEC Nijmegen and 14% for Groningen.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 8.3%, then 2-1 at 8.2% and 1-2 at 7.3%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time NEC Nijmegen, full-time NEC Nijmegen leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

NEC Nijmegen to win42%2.23
Draw23%4.00
Groningen to win34%3.45
NEC Nijmegen, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
Groningen, draw no bet45%fair 2.23

Double chance

NEC Nijmegen or draw66%1.42
Groningen or draw58%1.85
NEC Nijmegen or Groningen (no draw)77%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals72%1.41
Over 3.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 2.5 goals28%2.92
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.06

BTTS

Both teams to score72%1.40
Not both teams to score29%3.02

Halves

First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 2.00
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15

Team goals

NEC Nijmegen to score86%fair 1.16
Groningen to score83%fair 1.20
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Groningen clean sheet14%fair 7.19
NEC Nijmegen to win to nil16%fair 6.37
Groningen to win to nil13%fair 7.81

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-18.3%
2-18.2%
1-27.3%
2-27.2%
3-15.4%
3-24.7%

Half-time / full-time

NEC Nijmegen / NEC Nijmegen26.9%
Groningen / Groningen21.4%
Draw / NEC Nijmegen12.9%
Draw / Groningen11%
Draw / Draw10.4%

Questions about NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen

Who is favourite in NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

The model gives NEC Nijmegen the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 72% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

The BTTS yes line is rated 72%. NEC Nijmegen find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Groningen in 83%.

When is NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, NEC Nijmegen v GroningenNEC Nijmegen or Groningen (no draw), 77%
1.27Bet