KNVB Beker
Excelsior MaassluisHomeWL
0:2Half-time 0:0
HeerenveenAwayLWWWW91279
Excelsior Maassluis winDrawHeerenveen win
Excelsior MaassluisHomeWLHeerenveenAwayLWWWW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.82 0.85 : 2.97
- Favourite
- 79% Heerenveen
- Over 2.5 goals
- 73% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 11.00 | 6.98 | 1.20 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 12.00 | 6.80 | 1.17 | 1.32 | 3.10 | 1.80 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 11.00 | 6.98 | 1.20 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Melbet | 11.00 | 6.98 | 1.20 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Heerenveen to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen are 12.00 for Excelsior Maassluis at BC.Game, 6.98 for the draw at Melbet and 1.20 for Heerenveen at Melbet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 94%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.32 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.50 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (22Bet) and no 2.02 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
79%
Our prediction
Heerenveen to win
Double chanceHeerenveen or draw
91% chance1.02
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
73% chance1.32
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Heerenveen, full-time Heerenveen
58% chance1.74fair
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen prediction
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen prediction and best bet
Heerenveen are the clear favourite in the Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen prediction, rated 79% to win this KNVB Beker match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Excelsior Maassluis sit at 9% and the draw at 12%.
The goal expectancy is 3.82 in total, split 0.85 to Excelsior Maassluis and 2.97 to Heerenveen. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 73% and both teams to score 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Heerenveen to win is the main selection, rated 79%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.20. That price implies 84%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, heerenveen or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.02.
The draw sits at only 12%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen reads 89% for over 1.5, 73% for over 2.5 and 53% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 27%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 73%; BC.Game pay 1.32.
Both teams to score is 52%: Excelsior Maassluis find the net in 57% of simulated matches and Heerenveen in 95%. Excelsior Maassluis keep a clean sheet 5% of the time and Heerenveen 43%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 9.7%, followed by 0-3 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Heerenveen, full-time Heerenveen leads at 58%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Excelsior Maassluis to win9%12.00
Draw12%6.98
Heerenveen to win79%1.20
Excelsior Maassluis, draw no bet10%fair 10.00
Heerenveen, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
Double chance
Excelsior Maassluis or draw21%4.34
Heerenveen or draw91%1.02
Excelsior Maassluis or Heerenveen (no draw)88%1.08
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals73%1.32
Over 3.5 goals53%fair 1.89
Over 4.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 2.5 goals27%3.50
Under 3.5 goals47%fair 2.13
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.82
Not both teams to score48%2.02
Halves
First-half goal82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 first-half goals51%fair 1.95
Second-half goal88%fair 1.14
Team goals
Excelsior Maassluis to score57%fair 1.75
Heerenveen to score95%fair 1.05
Excelsior Maassluis clean sheet5%fair 19.61
Heerenveen clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Excelsior Maassluis to win to nil5%fair 21.28
Heerenveen to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-29.7%
0-39.6%
1-28.2%
1-38.1%
0-47.1%
0-16.5%
Half-time / full-time
Heerenveen / Heerenveen57.5%
Draw / Heerenveen18.7%
Draw / Draw6.7%
Excelsior Maassluis / Excelsior Maassluis4.1%
Excelsior Maassluis / Heerenveen3.6%
Questions about Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen
Who is favourite in Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
The model gives Heerenveen the best chance at 79%, with the draw at 12%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 73%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Excelsior Maassluis find the net in 57% of simulated matches and Heerenveen in 95%.
What time does Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen kick off?
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen starts at 20:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.