ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen prediction

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen prediction, who wins and at what price

ADO Den Haag host Heerenveen on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Eredivisie, and the model has Heerenveen at 50%, the draw at 24% and ADO Den Haag at 26%: that is the ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.39 in total, split 1.41 to ADO Den Haag and 1.98 to Heerenveen. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 67%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

ADO Den Haag or Heerenveen (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

ADO Den Haag average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Heerenveen 2.0 and 0.8 across 5.

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 56%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 1xBet pay 1.46.

Both teams to score is 67%: ADO Den Haag find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Heerenveen in 86%. ADO Den Haag keep a clean sheet 14% of the time and Heerenveen 24%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: 1-1 (9.4%), 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (6.7%).

With the top scoreline at 9.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Heerenveen, full-time Heerenveen is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.