NEC NijmegenHomeDDWDL
Fortuna SittardAwayDDWDD
NEC NijmegenHomeDDWDL
Fortuna SittardAwayDDWDD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 4.12 | 4.38 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.45 | 2.56 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction: NEC Nijmegen 1.75 (1xBet), draw 4.12 (1xBet), Fortuna Sittard 4.38 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.52 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.45 (1xBet) and no 2.56 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
The NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction leans to NEC Nijmegen: 56% against 22% for Fortuna Sittard, with 23% left for the draw, in the Eredivisie on Sunday, 18 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.48 in total, split 2.16 to NEC Nijmegen and 1.32 to Fortuna Sittard. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 65%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
NEC Nijmegen to win is the main selection, rated 56%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.75. That price implies 57%, 1 points over the model figure.
NEC Nijmegen or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.23.
Over the last 5 matches NEC Nijmegen stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Fortuna Sittard show 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
On the goal lines NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 46% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.41 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 65%. NEC Nijmegen score in 89% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Fortuna Sittard; Fortuna Sittard score in 73% while NEC Nijmegen shut them out 27% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.5%, then 1-1 at 8.8% and 2-0 at 7.2%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time NEC Nijmegen, full-time NEC Nijmegen is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives NEC Nijmegen the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. NEC Nijmegen find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Fortuna Sittard in 73%.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard starts at 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.