Skip to the predictions
Live 8 UTC
Eredivisie Round 9 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
NEC NijmegenHomeDDWDL
2:2Half-time 1:1
Fortuna SittardAwayDDWDD
562321
NEC Nijmegen winDrawFortuna Sittard win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
3.48
2.16 : 1.32
Favourite
56%
NEC Nijmegen
Over 2.5 goals
67%
model chance
Both teams to score
65%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.754.124.381.412.521.452.56Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

NEC Nijmegen to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction: NEC Nijmegen 1.75 (1xBet), draw 4.12 (1xBet), Fortuna Sittard 4.38 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.52 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.45 (1xBet) and no 2.56 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

56%

Our prediction

NEC Nijmegen to win
StrongExpected goals 2.16 : 1.32-2.5% against the best price
Double chanceNEC Nijmegen or draw
78% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.41
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.45
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time NEC Nijmegen, full-time NEC Nijmegen
37% chance2.74fair

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction, who wins and at what price

The NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction leans to NEC Nijmegen: 56% against 22% for Fortuna Sittard, with 23% left for the draw, in the Eredivisie on Sunday, 18 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.48 in total, split 2.16 to NEC Nijmegen and 1.32 to Fortuna Sittard. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 65%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

NEC Nijmegen to win is the main selection, rated 56%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.75. That price implies 57%, 1 points over the model figure.

NEC Nijmegen or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.23.

Over the last 5 matches NEC Nijmegen stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Fortuna Sittard show 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 46% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.41 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 65%. NEC Nijmegen score in 89% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Fortuna Sittard; Fortuna Sittard score in 73% while NEC Nijmegen shut them out 27% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.5%, then 1-1 at 8.8% and 2-0 at 7.2%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time NEC Nijmegen, full-time NEC Nijmegen is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.

All markets, NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

NEC Nijmegen to win56%1.75
Draw23%4.12
Fortuna Sittard to win22%4.38
NEC Nijmegen, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Fortuna Sittard, draw no bet28%fair 3.55

Double chance

NEC Nijmegen or draw78%1.23
Fortuna Sittard or draw44%2.12
NEC Nijmegen or Fortuna Sittard (no draw)78%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.41
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.18
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.25
Under 2.5 goals33%2.52
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.85

BTTS

Both teams to score65%1.45
Not both teams to score35%2.56

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.16
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17

Team goals

NEC Nijmegen to score89%fair 1.13
Fortuna Sittard to score73%fair 1.36
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet27%fair 3.75
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet12%fair 8.70
NEC Nijmegen to win to nil25%fair 4.07
Fortuna Sittard to win to nil11%fair 9.43

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.5%
1-18.8%
2-07.2%
3-16.8%
1-06.7%
2-26.3%

Half-time / full-time

NEC Nijmegen / NEC Nijmegen36.5%
Draw / NEC Nijmegen16.3%
Fortuna Sittard / Fortuna Sittard13.1%
Draw / Draw10.6%
Draw / Fortuna Sittard7.9%

Questions about NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard

Who is favourite in NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?

The model gives NEC Nijmegen the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. NEC Nijmegen find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Fortuna Sittard in 73%.

When is NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard and where is the result shown?

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard starts at 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen to win, 56%
1.75Bet