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Eredivisie Round 11 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
PEC ZwolleHomeLWDLW
1:0Half-time 1:0
ADO Den HaagAwayDWLDL
412534
PEC Zwolle winDrawADO Den Haag win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
3.20
1.68 : 1.52
Favourite
41%
PEC Zwolle
Over 2.5 goals
62%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.313.762.911.642.311.502.42Bet
22Bet2.313.622.911.582.381.522.54Bet
BC.Game2.323.602.721.572.301.502.44Bet
Betwinner2.313.622.911.582.381.522.54Bet
Melbet2.313.622.911.582.381.522.54Bet
Stake2.343.702.751.542.391.482.48Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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PEC Zwolle to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag are 2.34 for PEC Zwolle at Stake, 3.76 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.91 for ADO Den Haag at Melbet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 96.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.64 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.39 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (Melbet) and no 2.54 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

PEC Zwolle or ADO Den Haag (no draw)
LeanWonExpected goals 1.68 : 1.52-2.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.64Lost
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.52Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time PEC Zwolle, full-time PEC Zwolle
25% chance3.94fairWon
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.31fairWon

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag odds movement

PEC Zwolle win2.34unchanged
Draw3.76-0.07
ADO Den Haag win2.91-0.14
Over 2.5 goals1.64unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.39-0.06

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction

Our PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction for Sunday, 1 November 2026: 41% home, 25% draw and 34% away in the Eredivisie. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 3.20 in total, split 1.68 to PEC Zwolle and 1.52 to ADO Den Haag. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 64%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

PEC Zwolle or ADO Den Haag (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at Melbet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Form check: PEC Zwolle have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 5 conceded, ADO Den Haag 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 8.

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag reads 83% for over 1.5, 62% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 38%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.64 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 64%: PEC Zwolle find the net in 81% of simulated matches and ADO Den Haag in 78%. PEC Zwolle keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and ADO Den Haag 19%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.4%, then 2-1 at 8.7% and 1-2 at 7.9%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time PEC Zwolle, full-time PEC Zwolle is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

All markets, PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag

The grid built from 1.68 and 1.52 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

PEC Zwolle to win41%2.34
Draw25%3.76
ADO Den Haag to win34%2.91
PEC Zwolle, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
ADO Den Haag, draw no bet45%fair 2.20

Double chance

PEC Zwolle or draw66%1.43
ADO Den Haag or draw59%1.64
PEC Zwolle or ADO Den Haag (no draw)75%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals62%1.64
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.52
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.85
Under 2.5 goals38%2.39
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.66

BTTS

Both teams to score64%1.52
Not both teams to score36%2.54

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.37
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

PEC Zwolle to score81%fair 1.23
ADO Den Haag to score78%fair 1.28
PEC Zwolle clean sheet22%fair 4.57
ADO Den Haag clean sheet19%fair 5.38
PEC Zwolle to win to nil20%fair 4.98
ADO Den Haag to win to nil17%fair 5.85

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-18.7%
1-27.9%
1-06.8%
2-26.6%
0-16.2%

Half-time / full-time

PEC Zwolle / PEC Zwolle25.4%
ADO Den Haag / ADO Den Haag20.7%
Draw / PEC Zwolle13.5%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Draw / ADO Den Haag11.6%

Questions about PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

The model gives PEC Zwolle the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. PEC Zwolle find the net in 81% of simulated matches and ADO Den Haag in 78%.

What time does PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag kick off?

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag starts at 11:15 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, PEC Zwolle v ADO Den HaagPEC Zwolle or ADO Den Haag (no draw), 75%
1.29Bet