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J1 League Round 11 Wednesday, 21 October 2026 FT
Shimizu S-pulseHomeLDLLL
0:5Half-time 0:1
Machida ZelviaAwayWWDWD
242947
Shimizu S-pulse winDrawMachida Zelvia win
Kick-off
Wed 21 Oct
Expected goals
2.17
0.86 : 1.31
Favourite
47%
Machida Zelvia
Over 2.5 goals
36%
model chance
Both teams to score
44%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.943.262.052.501.542.101.66Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Machida Zelvia to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Shimizu S-pulse price at 3.94, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.26 and 1xBet have Machida Zelvia longest at 2.05.

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.50 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.54 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.10 (1xBet) and no 1.66 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

76%

Our prediction

Machida Zelvia or draw
StrongExpected goals 0.86 : 1.31-3.9% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.54
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
64% chance1.57fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
15% chance6.67fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Machida Zelvia, full-time Machida Zelvia
28% chance3.60fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.61fair

Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction

Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction and best bet

The Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction leans to Machida Zelvia: 47% against 24% for Shimizu S-pulse, with 29% left for the draw, in the J1 League on Wednesday, 21 October 2026.

Expected goals are 0.86 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.31 for Machida Zelvia, a total of 2.17, which puts over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 44%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia is machida Zelvia or draw, a 76% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia.

Shimizu S-pulse average 0.6 goals scored and 3.0 conceded across their last 5, Machida Zelvia 1.8 and 0.0 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia

On the goal lines Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia reads 64% for over 1.5, 36% for over 2.5 and 18% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 64%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; 1xBet pay 1.54.

The chance of both teams scoring is 44%, built from Shimizu S-pulse scoring in 58% of runs and Machida Zelvia in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Shimizu S-pulse and 42% for Machida Zelvia.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-0 (11.4%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Machida Zelvia, full-time Machida Zelvia is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.

Every market for Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia

The grid built from 0.86 and 1.31 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Shimizu S-pulse to win24%3.94
Draw29%3.26
Machida Zelvia to win47%2.05
Shimizu S-pulse, draw no bet34%fair 2.99
Machida Zelvia, draw no bet67%fair 1.50

Double chance

Shimizu S-pulse or draw53%1.78
Machida Zelvia or draw76%1.26
Shimizu S-pulse or Machida Zelvia (no draw)71%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals64%fair 1.57
Over 2.5 goals36%2.50
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 14.49
Under 1.5 goals36%fair 2.76
Under 2.5 goals64%1.54
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.21

BTTS

Both teams to score44%2.10
Not both teams to score56%1.66

Halves

First-half goal62%fair 1.61
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.91
Second-half goal70%fair 1.43

Team goals

Shimizu S-pulse to score58%fair 1.73
Machida Zelvia to score73%fair 1.37
Shimizu S-pulse clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Machida Zelvia clean sheet42%fair 2.36
Shimizu S-pulse to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Machida Zelvia to win to nil39%fair 2.57

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

0-115%
1-112.9%
0-011.4%
1-09.8%
0-29.8%
1-28.4%

Half-time / full-time

Machida Zelvia / Machida Zelvia27.8%
Draw / Draw19.4%
Draw / Machida Zelvia17.3%
Shimizu S-pulse / Shimizu S-pulse13.4%
Draw / Shimizu S-pulse10%

Questions about Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia

Who is favourite in Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?

The model gives Machida Zelvia the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 15%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 36% backs the same picture with less variance.

Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Shimizu S-pulse find the net in 58% of simulated matches and Machida Zelvia in 73%.

When do Shimizu S-pulse play Machida Zelvia?

Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia starts at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Shimizu S-pulse v Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia or draw, 76%
1.26Bet