J1 League
Nagoya GrampusHomeWDDLL
1:1Half-time 1:0
Cerezo OsakaAwayLDDWL452629
Nagoya Grampus winDrawCerezo Osaka win
Nagoya GrampusHomeWDDLLCerezo OsakaAwayLDDWL- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.02 1.68 : 1.34
- Favourite
- 45% Nagoya Grampus
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.18 | 1.72 | 2.15 | 1.56 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Nagoya Grampus to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka are 2.20 for Nagoya Grampus at 1xBet, 3.60 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.18 for Cerezo Osaka at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.72 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.15 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.28 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nagoya Grampus, full-time Nagoya Grampus
28% chance3.60fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka prediction
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka prediction, who wins and at what price
Nagoya Grampus host Cerezo Osaka on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 in the J1 League, and the model has Nagoya Grampus at 45%, the draw at 26% and Cerezo Osaka at 30%: that is the Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.68 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.34 for Cerezo Osaka, a total of 3.02, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka (no draw) at 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Nagoya Grampus have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 8 conceded, Cerezo Osaka 1 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 12.
How many goals in Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka reads 80% for over 1.5, 58% for over 2.5 and 36% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 42%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.72.
The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Nagoya Grampus scoring in 81% of runs and Cerezo Osaka in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Nagoya Grampus and 19% for Cerezo Osaka.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11%, then 2-1 at 9.2% and 1-0 at 8.2%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nagoya Grampus, full-time Nagoya Grampus leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win45%2.20
Draw26%3.60
Cerezo Osaka to win30%3.18
Nagoya Grampus, draw no bet60%fair 1.67
Cerezo Osaka, draw no bet40%fair 2.50
Double chance
Nagoya Grampus or draw70%1.37
Cerezo Osaka or draw56%1.69
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka (no draw)74%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.10
Under 2.5 goals42%2.15
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.28
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.54
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Nagoya Grampus to score81%fair 1.23
Cerezo Osaka to score74%fair 1.36
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet19%fair 5.38
Nagoya Grampus to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Cerezo Osaka to win to nil17%fair 5.85
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111%
2-19.2%
1-08.2%
1-27.4%
2-06.9%
0-16.5%
Half-time / full-time
Nagoya Grampus / Nagoya Grampus27.8%
Cerezo Osaka / Cerezo Osaka17.8%
Draw / Nagoya Grampus14.8%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Draw / Cerezo Osaka10.7%
Questions about Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka: which side does the model back?
The model gives Nagoya Grampus the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Nagoya Grampus find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Cerezo Osaka in 74%.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.