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Live 6 UTC
J1 League Round 10 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
Machida ZelviaHomeWWDWD
3:0Half-time 1:0
Avispa FukuokaAwayLLLLL
552718
Machida Zelvia winDrawAvispa Fukuoka win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
2.45
1.60 : 0.85
Favourite
55%
Machida Zelvia
Over 2.5 goals
44%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.833.534.622.141.731.931.78Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Machida Zelvia to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Machida Zelvia price at 1.83, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.53 and 1xBet have Avispa Fukuoka longest at 4.62.

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.14 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.73 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (1xBet) and no 1.78 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

55%

Our prediction

Machida Zelvia to win
StrongExpected goals 1.60 : 0.85+0.1% against the best price
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw
81% chance1.21
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.73
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Machida Zelvia, full-time Machida Zelvia
34% chance2.94fair

Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction

Our Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction and pick

Machida Zelvia are a narrow favourite in the Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction, rated 55% to win this J1 League match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Avispa Fukuoka sit at 19% and the draw at 27%.

Expected goals are 1.60 for Machida Zelvia and 0.85 for Avispa Fukuoka, a total of 2.45, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 48%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Machida Zelvia to win is the main selection, rated 55%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.83. That price implies 55%, 0 points under the model figure.

For a safer line, machida Zelvia or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.21.

Form check: Machida Zelvia have won 3 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 0 conceded, Avispa Fukuoka 0 of 5 scoring 3 and conceding 13.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka

Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.73.

The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Machida Zelvia scoring in 80% of runs and Avispa Fukuoka in 57%; clean sheets come at 43% for Machida Zelvia and 20% for Avispa Fukuoka.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.8%, then 1-1 at 11.7% and 2-0 at 11%.

With the top scoreline at 13.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Machida Zelvia, full-time Machida Zelvia is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.

Every market for Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Machida Zelvia to win55%1.83
Draw27%3.53
Avispa Fukuoka to win19%4.62
Machida Zelvia, draw no bet74%fair 1.34
Avispa Fukuoka, draw no bet26%fair 3.91

Double chance

Machida Zelvia or draw81%1.21
Avispa Fukuoka or draw45%2.00
Machida Zelvia or Avispa Fukuoka (no draw)74%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.14
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Under 2.5 goals56%1.73
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30

BTTS

Both teams to score48%1.93
Not both teams to score52%1.78

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.31
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

Machida Zelvia to score80%fair 1.25
Avispa Fukuoka to score57%fair 1.75
Machida Zelvia clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Machida Zelvia to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Avispa Fukuoka to win to nil17%fair 5.78

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-013.8%
1-111.7%
2-011%
2-19.4%
0-08.6%
0-17.3%

Half-time / full-time

Machida Zelvia / Machida Zelvia34%
Draw / Machida Zelvia18.7%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Avispa Fukuoka / Avispa Fukuoka10.8%
Draw / Avispa Fukuoka8%

Questions about Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka

Who is favourite in Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The model gives Machida Zelvia the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Machida Zelvia find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Avispa Fukuoka in 57%.

When do Machida Zelvia play Avispa Fukuoka?

Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka starts at 07:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Machida Zelvia v Avispa FukuokaMachida Zelvia to win, 55%
1.83Bet