Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction and best bet

The Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction leans to Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 70% against 12% for Shimizu S-pulse, with 18% left for the draw, in the J1 League on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Expected goals are 2.29 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.86 for Shimizu S-pulse, a total of 3.15, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win is the main selection, rated 70%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.43. That price implies 70%, 0 points over the model figure.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 88% chance, priced 1.11.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima average 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Shimizu S-pulse 0.6 and 3.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 1xBet pay 1.61.

Both teams to score is 53%: Sanfrecce Hiroshima find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Shimizu S-pulse in 58%. Sanfrecce Hiroshima keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Shimizu S-pulse 10%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse: 2-0 (11.2%), 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima, full-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the top combination at 47%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.