J1 League
Yokohama F. MarinosHomeDDDWW
2:2Half-time 1:0
Tokyo VerdyAwayLLDWW522820
Yokohama F. Marinos winDrawTokyo Verdy win
Yokohama F. MarinosHomeDDDWWTokyo VerdyAwayLLDWW- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.38 1.51 : 0.87
- Favourite
- 52% Yokohama F. Marinos
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.38 | 4.51 | 2.30 | 1.63 | 2.02 | 1.71 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Yokohama F. Marinos to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy prediction: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.89 (1xBet), draw 3.38 (1xBet), Tokyo Verdy 4.51 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.30 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.63 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (1xBet) and no 1.71 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
52%
Our prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos to win
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw
79% chance1.21
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.63
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.14fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Yokohama F. Marinos, full-time Yokohama F. Marinos
32% chance3.14fair
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy prediction
Our Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy prediction and pick
Yokohama F. Marinos host Tokyo Verdy on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 in the J1 League, and the model has Yokohama F. Marinos at 52%, the draw at 28% and Tokyo Verdy at 21%: that is the Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy prediction in one line.
Yokohama F. Marinos are expected to score 1.51 and Tokyo Verdy 0.87, so the total line is 2.38 goals; over 2.5 lands at 42% and BTTS at 45%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is yokohama F. Marinos to win at 52%. The best price in our comparison is 1.89 at 1xBet, which implies 53%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
For a safer line, yokohama F. Marinos or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.21.
Form check: Yokohama F. Marinos have won 2 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 8 conceded, Tokyo Verdy 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 10.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy
Under 2.5 goals is rated 58% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 42%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.63 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 45%. Yokohama F. Marinos score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for Tokyo Verdy; Tokyo Verdy score in 58% while Yokohama F. Marinos shut them out 42% of the time.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14%, then 1-1 at 12.2% and 2-0 at 10.6%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Yokohama F. Marinos, full-time Yokohama F. Marinos is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 52% / 28% / 21% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Yokohama F. Marinos to win52%1.89
Draw28%3.38
Tokyo Verdy to win21%4.51
Yokohama F. Marinos, draw no bet71%fair 1.40
Tokyo Verdy, draw no bet29%fair 3.47
Double chance
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw79%1.21
Tokyo Verdy or draw49%1.93
Yokohama F. Marinos or Tokyo Verdy (no draw)72%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.30
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals58%1.63
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score45%2.02
Not both teams to score55%1.71
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Yokohama F. Marinos to score78%fair 1.28
Tokyo Verdy to score58%fair 1.72
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Tokyo Verdy clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Yokohama F. Marinos to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Tokyo Verdy to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014%
1-112.2%
2-010.6%
0-09.3%
2-19.2%
0-18.1%
Half-time / full-time
Yokohama F. Marinos / Yokohama F. Marinos31.8%
Draw / Yokohama F. Marinos18.2%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Tokyo Verdy / Tokyo Verdy11.8%
Draw / Tokyo Verdy8.7%
Questions about Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy
Who is favourite in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 28%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Yokohama F. Marinos find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Tokyo Verdy in 58%.
When do Yokohama F. Marinos play Tokyo Verdy?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy starts at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.