AFC Champions League Two
Shanghai ShenhuaHomeWDWLL
0:1Half-time 0:1
Machida ZelviaAwayWWDWD222256
Shanghai Shenhua winDrawMachida Zelvia win
Shanghai ShenhuaHomeWDWLLMachida ZelviaAwayWWDWD- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.83 1.02 : 1.81
- Favourite
- 56% Machida Zelvia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.50 | 4.01 | 1.65 | 1.62 | 2.18 | 1.61 | 2.16 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.27 | 3.95 | 1.72 | 1.77 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.67 | 1.64 | 2.14 | 1.62 | 2.10 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.27 | 3.95 | 1.72 | 1.77 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.27 | 3.95 | 1.72 | 1.77 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.10 | 3.95 | 1.69 | 1.59 | 2.16 | 1.62 | 2.07 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Machida Zelvia to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia are 4.50 for Shanghai Shenhua at 1xBet, 4.20 for the draw at BC.Game and 1.72 for Machida Zelvia at 22Bet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.77 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.18 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 2.16 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
56%
Our prediction
Machida Zelvia to win
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw
79% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Machida Zelvia, full-time Machida Zelvia
35% chance2.84fair
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia prediction
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia prediction, who wins and at what price
Shanghai Shenhua host Machida Zelvia on Thursday, 29 October 2026 in the AFC Champions League Two, and the model has Machida Zelvia at 56%, the draw at 22% and Shanghai Shenhua at 22%: that is the Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.02 for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.81 for Machida Zelvia, a total of 2.83, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is machida Zelvia to win at 56%. At 1.72 with 22Bet the market prices it at 58%, against 56% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Machida Zelvia or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.20.
Form check: Shanghai Shenhua have won 2 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 5 conceded, Machida Zelvia 3 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 0.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; Melbet pay 1.77.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Shanghai Shenhua score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Machida Zelvia; Machida Zelvia score in 84% while Shanghai Shenhua shut them out 16% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 0-1 at 10.7% and 1-2 at 9.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Machida Zelvia, full-time Machida Zelvia leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 22% / 22% / 56% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Shanghai Shenhua to win22%4.50
Draw22%4.20
Machida Zelvia to win56%1.72
Shanghai Shenhua, draw no bet28%fair 3.62
Machida Zelvia, draw no bet72%fair 1.38
Double chance
Shanghai Shenhua or draw44%2.12
Machida Zelvia or draw79%1.20
Shanghai Shenhua or Machida Zelvia (no draw)78%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.77
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.37
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.42
Under 2.5 goals47%2.18
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.87
Not both teams to score46%2.16
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.75
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Shanghai Shenhua to score64%fair 1.56
Machida Zelvia to score84%fair 1.20
Shanghai Shenhua clean sheet16%fair 6.10
Machida Zelvia clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Shanghai Shenhua to win to nil15%fair 6.62
Machida Zelvia to win to nil33%fair 3.01
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-110.9%
0-110.7%
1-29.9%
0-29.7%
1-06%
1-35.9%
Half-time / full-time
Machida Zelvia / Machida Zelvia35.2%
Draw / Machida Zelvia17.8%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Shanghai Shenhua / Shanghai Shenhua11.7%
Draw / Shanghai Shenhua8%
Questions about Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia
Who is favourite in Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
The model gives Machida Zelvia the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Shanghai Shenhua find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Machida Zelvia in 84%.
When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia and where is the result shown?
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia starts at 12:15 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.