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J1 League Round 11 Wednesday, 21 October 2026 FT
Fagiano OkayamaHomeDLWLL
2:0Half-time 0:0
Mito HollyhockAwayLLLLL
582616
Fagiano Okayama winDrawMito Hollyhock win
Kick-off
Wed 21 Oct
Expected goals
2.40
1.64 : 0.76
Favourite
58%
Fagiano Okayama
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.713.635.332.201.692.051.69Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Fagiano Okayama to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock are 1.71 for Fagiano Okayama at 1xBet, 3.63 for the draw at 1xBet and 5.33 for Mito Hollyhock at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.20 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.05 (1xBet) and no 1.69 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

58%

Our prediction

Fagiano Okayama to win
StrongExpected goals 1.64 : 0.76-0.3% against the best price
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw
84% chance1.16
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.69
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fagiano Okayama, full-time Fagiano Okayama
36% chance2.75fair

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock prediction

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock prediction, who wins and at what price

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock prediction for the J1 League on Wednesday, 21 October 2026: the model makes Fagiano Okayama a narrow favourite at 58%, with the draw at 26% and Mito Hollyhock at 16%.

Fagiano Okayama are expected to score 1.64 and Mito Hollyhock 0.76, so the total line is 2.40 goals; over 2.5 lands at 42% and BTTS at 45%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is fagiano Okayama to win at 58%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.71. That price implies 58%, 0 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, fagiano Okayama or draw covers 84% of outcomes at 1.16.

Fagiano Okayama average 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Mito Hollyhock 0.2 and 3.0 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 78%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.69 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 45%. Fagiano Okayama score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Mito Hollyhock; Mito Hollyhock score in 53% while Fagiano Okayama shut them out 47% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.9%, then 2-0 at 12.2% and 1-1 at 11.3%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fagiano Okayama, full-time Fagiano Okayama leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock

The grid built from 1.64 and 0.76 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Fagiano Okayama to win58%1.71
Draw26%3.63
Mito Hollyhock to win16%5.33
Fagiano Okayama, draw no bet78%fair 1.28
Mito Hollyhock, draw no bet22%fair 4.61

Double chance

Fagiano Okayama or draw84%1.16
Mito Hollyhock or draw42%2.16
Fagiano Okayama or Mito Hollyhock (no draw)75%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.20
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Under 2.5 goals58%1.69
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28

BTTS

Both teams to score45%2.05
Not both teams to score55%1.69

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.40
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36

Team goals

Fagiano Okayama to score81%fair 1.24
Mito Hollyhock to score53%fair 1.88
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet47%fair 2.14
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Fagiano Okayama to win to nil43%fair 2.33
Mito Hollyhock to win to nil15%fair 6.71

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-014.9%
2-012.2%
1-111.3%
2-19.3%
0-09.1%
0-16.9%

Half-time / full-time

Fagiano Okayama / Fagiano Okayama36.4%
Draw / Fagiano Okayama19.7%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Mito Hollyhock / Mito Hollyhock9.2%
Draw / Mito Hollyhock7.1%

Questions about Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock

Who is favourite in Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model gives Fagiano Okayama the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Fagiano Okayama find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Mito Hollyhock in 53%.

What time does Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock kick off?

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock starts at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Fagiano Okayama v Mito HollyhockFagiano Okayama to win, 58%
1.71Bet