J1 League
Shimizu S-pulseHomeLDLLL
2:2Half-time 2:0
Gamba OsakaAwayDWDDD362836
Shimizu S-pulse winDrawGamba Osaka win
Shimizu S-pulseHomeLDLLLGamba OsakaAwayDWDDD- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.58 1.28 : 1.30
- Favourite
- 37% Gamba Osaka
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.76 | 3.18 | 2.66 | 2.14 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Gamba Osaka to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka are 2.76 for Shimizu S-pulse at 1xBet, 3.18 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.66 for Gamba Osaka at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.14 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.72 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.79 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Shimizu S-pulse or Gamba Osaka (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gamba Osaka, full-time Gamba Osaka
22% chance4.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka prediction
Our Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka prediction and pick
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka prediction for the J1 League on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model calls it close, Shimizu S-pulse 36%, draw 28%, Gamba Osaka 37%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Shimizu S-pulse are expected to score 1.28 and Gamba Osaka 1.30, so the total line is 2.58 goals; over 2.5 lands at 47% and BTTS at 54%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka is shimizu S-pulse or Gamba Osaka (no draw), a 72% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.35. That price implies 74%, 2 points over the model figure.
Over the last 5 matches Shimizu S-pulse stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Gamba Osaka show 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.72.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Shimizu S-pulse scoring in 72% of runs and Gamba Osaka in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Shimizu S-pulse and 28% for Gamba Osaka.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, followed by 0-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.7%).
With the top scoreline at 12.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Gamba Osaka, full-time Gamba Osaka leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 28% / 37% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Shimizu S-pulse to win36%2.76
Draw28%3.18
Gamba Osaka to win37%2.66
Shimizu S-pulse, draw no bet49%fair 2.03
Gamba Osaka, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Double chance
Shimizu S-pulse or draw63%1.48
Gamba Osaka or draw64%1.45
Shimizu S-pulse or Gamba Osaka (no draw)72%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.14
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.33
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 2.5 goals53%1.72
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.79
Not both teams to score46%2.05
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.10
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Shimizu S-pulse to score72%fair 1.39
Gamba Osaka to score73%fair 1.38
Shimizu S-pulse clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Gamba Osaka clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Shimizu S-pulse to win to nil25%fair 3.98
Gamba Osaka to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
0-19.9%
1-09.7%
1-28.2%
2-18.1%
0-07.6%
Half-time / full-time
Gamba Osaka / Gamba Osaka21.7%
Shimizu S-pulse / Shimizu S-pulse21.1%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Draw / Gamba Osaka13.4%
Draw / Shimizu S-pulse13.1%
Questions about Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
The model gives Gamba Osaka the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Shimizu S-pulse find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Gamba Osaka in 73%.
When do Shimizu S-pulse play Gamba Osaka?
Kick-off is 04:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.